SHLS Q2 Deep Dive: Revenue Growth Overshadowed by Margin Pressure and Cautious Market Reaction

August 12, 2025 at 23:38 PM EDT

SHLS Cover Image

Solar energy systems company Shoals (NASDAQ: SHLS) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 11.7% year on year to $110.8 million. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($130 million at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 7.8% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.10 per share was 19.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy SHLS? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Shoals (SHLS) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

Revenue: $110.8 million vs analyst estimates of $104.3 million (11.7% year-on-year growth, 6.3% beat)
Adjusted EPS: $0.10 vs analyst estimates of $0.08 (19.3% beat)
Adjusted EBITDA: $24.47 million vs analyst estimates of $23.93 million (22.1% margin, 2.3% beat)
The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $460 million at the midpoint from $430 million, a 7% increase
EBITDA guidance for the full year is $107.5 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $106 million
Operating Margin: 14.4%, down from 18.7% in the same quarter last year
Backlog: $671.3 million at quarter end, up 4.5% year on year
Market Capitalization: $773.2 million

StockStory’s Take

Shoals delivered revenue growth in Q2, surpassing Wall Street’s expectations, but the market reacted negatively, with shares dropping sharply after the report. Management pointed to higher domestic project volume and strong bookings as key drivers, yet acknowledged margin pressure from strategic pricing actions and an evolving product mix. CEO Brandon Moss emphasized the impact of competitive pricing and ongoing legal expenses as near-term headwinds, noting, “Gross profit percentage was in line with expectations of mid- to upper 30s, driven largely by strategic pricing initiatives and product mix.”

Looking ahead, Shoals raised its full-year revenue guidance and highlighted a robust backlog, signaling expectations for continued growth into 2026. Management cited accelerating international opportunities, new product adoption, and rising demand from battery energy storage and data center projects as future growth drivers. However, CFO Dominic Bardos cautioned that elevated costs related to warranty remediation and facility consolidation will persist, stating, “Operating cash flow had more challenges, but as we get towards the end of the year, we'll be seeing the reductions of CapEx for 2026 and also warranty remediation.”

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s outperformance to strong order momentum, expansion into new growth channels, and a diversified customer mix.

Order momentum and backlog: Bookings continued at a high pace, resulting in a record backlog and awarded orders, which management believes underpins growth well into 2026.
Expansion into new channels: Shoals saw year-over-year revenue contributions from strategic growth initiatives, including community, commercial, and industrial (CC&I) segments and original equipment manufacturer (OEM) partnerships, both of which are expanding the company’s addressable market.
Product mix shifts: Management noted a greater share of lower-margin products and promotional pricing to attract new customers, which weighed on overall margins but was described as necessary to win market share from competitors.
Legal and remediation costs: Elevated legal expenses related to ongoing intellectual property litigation, as well as continued costs for warranty remediation on defective wire, affected operating expenses and cash flow in the quarter.
International and BESS growth: The company highlighted early wins in international markets and battery energy storage systems (BESS), with CEO Brandon Moss pointing to a pipeline exceeding 20 gigawatts and growing engagement with data center and AI-related projects.

Drivers of Future Performance

Shoals’ updated guidance is driven by expectations for continued demand in utility-scale solar, growing traction in international and energy storage markets, and ongoing operational efficiency initiatives.

Utility-scale solar and project pipeline: Management believes strong demand for utility-scale solar will continue as energy needs rise, with a majority of backlog scheduled for delivery over the next four quarters and minimal project delays compared to prior years.
Diversification and new market entry: The company expects increasing contributions from international sales, CC&I, and OEM channels; early-stage wins in Latin America and Australia are seen as indicators of accelerating growth outside the core U.S. market.
Margin and cost headwinds: While revenue growth is expected, management warned that promotional pricing and a mix of lower-margin products will continue to pressure profitability in the near term, with further impact from legal and remediation costs until these issues are resolved.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be tracking (1) the pace of backlog conversion into revenue, as well as any signs of project delays; (2) execution of operational improvements tied to the new consolidated facility in Tennessee; and (3) the scale and profitability of international and BESS opportunities as they move from pipeline to revenue. The resolution of legal and warranty expenses will also remain in focus as indicators of improved margin potential.

Shoals currently trades at $4.62, down from $5.37 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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