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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Mercury Systems’s Q2 Earnings Call

MRCY Cover Image

Mercury Systems delivered a positive second quarter, with results exceeding Wall Street expectations and a notable market reaction. Management attributed this performance to accelerated customer deliveries, improved program execution, and a disciplined focus on reducing operating expenses. CEO William Ballhaus emphasized that record bookings and backlog growth were driven by contracts across radar, electronic warfare, and aerospace subsystems. The company also benefited from operational changes that expanded gross margins and enabled higher operating leverage. Ballhaus highlighted, “Our focus on accelerating customer deliveries generated approximately $30 million of revenue and approximately $15 million of adjusted EBITDA planned for next year.”

Is now the time to buy MRCY? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Mercury Systems (MRCY) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $273.1 million vs analyst estimates of $244.2 million (9.9% year-on-year growth, 11.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.47 vs analyst estimates of $0.22 (significant beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $51.27 million vs analyst estimates of $34.54 million (18.8% margin, 48.4% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 8.6%, up from -3.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Backlog: $1.4 billion at quarter end, up 5.3% year on year
  • Organic Revenue rose 9.5% year on year vs analyst estimates of 1.1% declines (1,055.7 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $4.00 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Mercury Systems’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Peter J. Arment (Baird) asked about the duration of capacity allocation to unbilled receivables. CEO William Ballhaus responded that this headwind should diminish through next year as older programs are completed, improving free cash flow.

  • Kenneth George Herbert (RBC Capital Markets) inquired on the repeatability of accelerated deliveries. Ballhaus explained that success was driven by supply chain and factory optimization, with ongoing efforts to identify and accelerate eligible programs.

  • Seth Michael Seifman (JPMorgan) questioned the sustainability of margin gains. CFO Dave Farnsworth noted that margins should trend higher as backlog quality improves but could fluctuate based on quarterly program mix.

  • Jonathan Frank Ho (William Blair) sought clarification on the decision not to issue formal annual guidance. Ballhaus cited ongoing operational constraints and uncertainty about the timing of additional acceleration or contract awards.

  • Samuel Pope Struhsaker (Truist Securities) asked about remaining operational improvement levers. Ballhaus emphasized further automation, backlog quality, and leveraging operating scale as key sources of future margin gains.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace at which Mercury Systems transitions from low-margin to higher-margin backlog, (2) continued progress in working capital reduction and free cash flow generation, and (3) new contract wins, particularly in radar, electronic warfare, and international markets. Execution on automation initiatives and the ability to accelerate deliveries will also be important indicators of operational discipline.

Mercury Systems currently trades at $68.50, up from $53.72 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free).

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