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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
  • Natalie Fardian-Melamed, Ph.D., Columbia University
  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Why Coinbase (COIN) Stock Is Trading Lower Today

COIN Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of blockchain infrastructure company Coinbase (NASDAQ: COIN) fell 5.4% in the afternoon session after the company announced a plan to offer $2 billion in convertible senior notes. The private offering consisted of two $1 billion tranches, due in 2029 and 2032, directed at qualified institutional buyers. Investors reacted to the potential for future dilution. Dilution happens when a company issues new shares, which can decrease the ownership percentage of existing stockholders. The news extended weakness from the company's recent quarterly results, which showed a slowdown in trading activity.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Coinbase? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

What Is The Market Telling Us

Coinbase’s shares are extremely volatile and have had 63 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 4 days ago when the stock dropped 15.3% on the news that the company reported disappointing second-quarter financial results that fell short of Wall Street's expectations. The crypto exchange announced second-quarter revenue of $1.5 billion, which missed analyst forecasts. A significant 39% drop in transaction revenue from the previous quarter drove the miss, a signal that trading activity on the platform slowed. The company also delivered a disappointing outlook for its subscription revenue. 

Adding to the pressure, the broader market faltered after a weak U.S. jobs report and the announcement of new trade tariffs rattled investor confidence. In response to the poor results, analysts at Barclays trimmed their price target, while Monness Crespi & Hardt downgraded the stock's rating.

Coinbase is up 16.2% since the beginning of the year, but at $298.77 per share, it is still trading 28.8% below its 52-week high of $419.78 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Coinbase’s shares at the IPO in April 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $910.11.

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