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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
  • Natalie Fardian-Melamed, Ph.D., Columbia University
  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Q2 Earnings Roundup: Mercury General (NYSE:MCY) And The Rest Of The Property & Casualty Insurance Segment

MCY Cover Image

The end of the earnings season is always a good time to take a step back and see who shined (and who not so much). Let’s take a look at how property & casualty insurance stocks fared in Q2, starting with Mercury General (NYSE: MCY).

Property & Casualty (P&C) insurers protect individuals and businesses against financial loss from damage to property or from legal liability. This is a cyclical industry, and the sector benefits when there is 'hard market', characterized by strong premium rate increases that outpace loss and cost inflation, resulting in robust underwriting margins. The opposite is true in a 'soft market'. Interest rates also matter, as they determine the yields earned on fixed-income portfolios. On the other hand, P&C insurers face a major secular headwind from the increasing frequency and severity of catastrophe losses due to climate change. Furthermore, the liability side of the business is pressured by 'social inflation'—the trend of rising litigation costs and larger jury awards.

The 33 property & casualty insurance stocks we track reported a satisfactory Q2. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 1.5%.

In light of this news, share prices of the companies have held steady as they are up 3.4% on average since the latest earnings results.

Mercury General (NYSE: MCY)

Founded in 1961 and maintaining a network of over 6,300 independent agents across the country, Mercury General (NYSE: MCY) is an insurance company that primarily sells automobile insurance policies through independent agents in 11 states, with a strong focus on California.

Mercury General reported revenues of $1.48 billion, up 13.2% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 2%. Overall, it was a stunning quarter for the company with a beat of analysts’ EPS and net premiums earned estimates.

Mercury General Total Revenue

Interestingly, the stock is up 10.5% since reporting and currently trades at $77.64.

Is now the time to buy Mercury General? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q2: Root (NASDAQ: ROOT)

Pioneering a data-driven approach that rewards good driving habits, Root (NASDAQ: ROOT) is a technology-driven auto insurance company that uses mobile apps to acquire customers and data science to price policies based on individual driving behavior.

Root reported revenues of $382.9 million, up 32.4% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 7.5%. The business had an incredible quarter with a beat of analysts’ EPS and net premiums earned estimates.

Root Total Revenue

Although it had a fine quarter compared to its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 19.6% since reporting. It currently trades at $98.98.

Is now the time to buy Root? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q2: Selective Insurance Group (NASDAQ: SIGI)

Founded in 1926 during the early days of automobile insurance, Selective Insurance Group (NASDAQ: SIGI) is a property and casualty insurance company that sells commercial, personal, and excess and surplus lines insurance products through independent agents.

Selective Insurance Group reported revenues of $127.9 million, down 89.3% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 90.3%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ EPS and book value per share estimates.

Selective Insurance Group delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates and slowest revenue growth in the group. As expected, the stock is down 15% since the results and currently trades at $76.91.

Read our full analysis of Selective Insurance Group’s results here.

Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ: CINF)

Founded in 1950 by independent insurance agents seeking stable market options for their clients, Cincinnati Financial (NASDAQ: CINF) provides property casualty insurance, life insurance, and related financial services through independent agencies across 46 states.

Cincinnati Financial reported revenues of $3.25 billion, up 34.9% year on year. This number beat analysts’ expectations by 12.8%. It was an exceptional quarter as it also logged a beat of analysts’ EPS and book value per share estimates.

The stock is up 5.5% since reporting and currently trades at $155.27.

Read our full, actionable report on Cincinnati Financial here, it’s free.

Skyward Specialty Insurance (NASDAQ: SKWD)

Founded in 2006 to serve markets where standard insurance coverage falls short, Skyward Specialty Insurance (NASDAQ: SKWD) provides customized commercial property, casualty, and health insurance solutions for underserved or specialized market niches.

Skyward Specialty Insurance reported revenues of $319.9 million, up 14.3% year on year. This print missed analysts’ expectations by 1.4%. Aside from that, it was a mixed quarter as it also logged a solid beat of analysts’ book value per share estimates but a slight miss of analysts’ net premiums earned estimates.

The stock is down 3.4% since reporting and currently trades at $47.71.

Read our full, actionable report on Skyward Specialty Insurance here, it’s free.

Market Update

As a result of the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has come down from frothy levels post-pandemic. The general rise in the price of goods and services is trending towards the Fed’s 2% goal as of late, which is good news. The higher rates that fought inflation also didn't slow economic activity enough to catalyze a recession. So far, soft landing. This, combined with recent rate cuts (half a percent in September 2024 and a quarter percent in November 2024) have led to strong stock market performance in 2024. The icing on the cake for 2024 returns was Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. Presidential Election in early November, sending major indices to all-time highs in the week following the election. Still, debates around the health of the economy and the impact of potential tariffs and corporate tax cuts remain, leaving much uncertainty around 2025.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our 9 Best Market-Beating Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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