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Editorial Advisory Board

  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
  • Ruti Ben-Shlomi, Ph.D., LightSolver
  • James Butler, Ph.D., Hamamatsu
  • Natalie Fardian-Melamed, Ph.D., Columbia University
  • Justin Sigley, Ph.D., AmeriCOM
  • Professor Birgit Stiller, Max Planck Institute for the Science of Light, and Leibniz University of Hannover
  • Professor Stephen Sweeney, University of Glasgow
  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

3 Reasons to Avoid HRB and 1 Stock to Buy Instead

HRB Cover Image

Over the past six months, H&R Block’s shares (currently trading at $49.82) have posted a disappointing 6.2% loss, well below the S&P 500’s 15.5% gain. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Is there a buying opportunity in H&R Block, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Is H&R Block Not Exciting?

Even with the cheaper entry price, we're swiping left on H&R Block for now. Here are three reasons why HRB doesn't excite us and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

Reviewing a company’s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can experience short-term success, but top-performing ones enjoy sustained growth for years. Regrettably, H&R Block’s sales grew at a sluggish 7.3% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This was below our standard for the consumer discretionary sector. We note H&R Block is a seasonal business because it generates most of its revenue during tax season, so the charts in our report will look a bit lumpy.

H&R Block Quarterly Revenue

2. Projected Revenue Growth Is Slim

Forecasted revenues by Wall Street analysts signal a company’s potential. Predictions may not always be accurate, but accelerating growth typically boosts valuation multiples and stock prices while slowing growth does the opposite.

Over the next 12 months, sell-side analysts expect H&R Block’s revenue to rise by 3.3%, close to its 7.3% annualized growth for the past five years. This projection doesn't excite us and suggests its newer products and services will not accelerate its top-line performance yet.

3. New Investments Fail to Bear Fruit as ROIC Declines

A company’s ROIC, or return on invested capital, shows how much operating profit it makes compared to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

We like to invest in businesses with high returns, but the trend in a company’s ROIC is what often surprises the market and moves the stock price. Unfortunately, H&R Block’s ROIC has decreased significantly over the last few years. We like what management has done in the past, but its declining returns are perhaps a symptom of fewer profitable growth opportunities.

H&R Block Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

H&R Block isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at $49.82 per share (or a forward price-to-sales ratio of 1.7×). The market typically values companies like H&R Block based on their anticipated profits for the next 12 months, but there aren’t enough published estimates to arrive at a reliable number. You should avoid this stock for now - better opportunities lie elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at the most dominant software business in the world.

Stocks We Would Buy Instead of H&R Block

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

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