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  • Professor Andrea M. Armani, University of Southern California
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  • Mohan Wang, Ph.D., University of Oxford
  • Professor Xuchen Wang, Harbin Engineering University
  • Professor Stefan Witte, Delft University of Technology

Why TreeHouse Foods (THS) Shares Are Trading Lower Today

THS Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of private label food company TreeHouse Foods (NYSE: THS) fell 2.9% in the afternoon session after it extended a decline that began after the company's second-quarter earnings report. 

Despite TreeHouse Foods exceeding analysts' revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates for the quarter, the stock has faced persistent selling pressure, falling 11.7% since the results were announced. This negative trend contrasts with the positive headline numbers, suggesting investors may have underlying concerns about the company's outlook. The broader shelf-stable food sector has also experienced a slight downturn, declining 1.3% collectively since the latest earnings reports. The continued drop in TreeHouse's stock indicates that the market's reaction to the earnings release has been decidedly negative, overshadowing the reported beats on key financial metrics.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy TreeHouse Foods? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

What Is The Market Telling Us

TreeHouse Foods’s shares are quite volatile and have had 19 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The previous big move we wrote about was 11 days ago when the stock dropped 1.3% on the news that competitor Hormel Foods reported disappointing third-quarter results and lowered its full-year earnings forecast. Hormel, a major player in the industry, announced that while its sales grew, its earnings were disappointing and fell short of expectations. The company cited a "steep rise in commodity input costs" as the primary reason for the shortfall. Consequently, Hormel reduced its annual operating income forecast from a range of $1.12bn-$1.19bn to $982m-$996m. This negative news from a peer company is likely weighing on TreeHouse Foods, as investors may be concerned that it faces similar inflationary pressures that could hurt its profitability.

TreeHouse Foods is down 49.2% since the beginning of the year, and at $17.71 per share, it is trading 59% below its 52-week high of $43.22 from September 2024. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of TreeHouse Foods’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $420.39.

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