Commercial real estate lender Ladder Capital (NYSE: LADR) fell short of the market’s revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales falling 15.4% year on year to $57.48 million. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.25 per share was 8.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy LADR? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

StockStory’s Take

Ladder Capital’s third quarter saw a positive market reaction, despite revenue missing Wall Street targets, as management emphasized accelerated loan originations and a strategic focus on higher-quality assets. President Pamela McCormack highlighted, “Origination activity accelerated... our highest quarterly origination volume in over 3 years,” mainly in multifamily and industrial loans. The company also reduced its office loan exposure and completed its first investment-grade bond issuance, reinforcing its conservative balance sheet and positioning Ladder for stable returns across market cycles.

Looking ahead, management is optimistic about further loan growth and expects fourth quarter originations to surpass the third quarter. CEO Brian Harris stated, “We expect most of the lift to earnings next year to come from organic growth of our loan portfolio,” while also noting the potential for cost savings as the company leans more on its investment-grade capital structure. Ladder anticipates continued benefits from lower borrowing costs, expanded access to stable funding, and a shift toward being compared with investment-grade property REITs rather than commercial mortgage REITs.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed the quarter’s performance to increased loan origination, prudent capital allocation, and the benefits of its investment-grade bond market debut.

• Accelerated loan origination: The company originated $511 million across 17 transactions, the highest quarterly volume in over three years, focusing on newer, high-quality multifamily and industrial properties.
• Reduced office loan exposure: Ladder fully paid off its third largest office loan, decreasing office exposure to 14% of total assets and concentrating remaining office loans in well-performing properties in Miami and Aventura, Florida.
• Securities portfolio management: The securities portfolio saw a net reduction, with management selling more securities than it purchased, reflecting caution amid mortgage market volatility and expectations of wider spreads due to Federal Reserve actions.
• Investment-grade bond issuance: The inaugural $500 million unsecured bond offering at a 5.5% rate attracted strong demand, tightening secondary market spreads and validating the company’s conservative capital structure and funding strategy.
• Stable real estate income: Ladder’s $960 million real estate portfolio, heavily weighted toward long-term net leases with investment-grade tenants, continued to provide stable net operating income, supporting predictable earnings.

Drivers of Future Performance

Ladder Capital’s outlook is anchored by plans for continued loan portfolio expansion, lower borrowing costs, and disciplined credit risk management.

• Loan portfolio expansion: Management expects organic growth in the loan book, aiming to add $1 billion or more, supported by strong origination pipelines and the ability to redeploy capital from securities into higher-yielding loans.
• Lower cost of capital: By leveraging its investment-grade rating and larger undrawn revolver, Ladder anticipates further reductions in funding costs, which should enhance profit margins as the Federal Reserve signals potential rate cuts.
• Strategic real estate and securities allocations: The company will continue to adjust its real estate and securities holdings opportunistically, focusing on assets with stable cash flow and considering the potential for spinning off or restructuring certain portfolios to unlock value.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

Looking ahead, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the pace and quality of new loan originations and whether Ladder can sustain growth above paydowns, (2) further reductions in office loan exposure and resolution of non-accrual loans, and (3) the impact of investment-grade funding on cost of capital and profitability. Shifts in interest rates and the company’s ability to optimize its portfolio allocations will also be key indicators.

Ladder Capital currently trades at $11.03, in line with $10.99 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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