Zillow’s (NASDAQ:ZG) Q3: Beats On Revenue

ZG Cover Image

Online real estate marketplace Zillow (NASDAQ: ZG) reported Q3 CY2025 results exceeding the marketโ€™s revenue expectations, with sales up 16.4% year on year to $676 million. Guidance for next quarterโ€™s revenue was better than expected at $650 million at the midpoint, 0.9% above analystsโ€™ estimates. Its GAAP profit of $0.04 per share was $0.01 above analystsโ€™ consensus estimates.

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Zillow (ZG) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $676 million vs analyst estimates of $670.5 million (16.4% year-on-year growth, 0.8% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): $0.04 vs analyst estimates of $0.03 ($0.01 beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $165 million vs analyst estimates of $158.4 million (24.4% margin, 4.2% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $650 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $643.9 million
  • EBITDA guidance for Q4 CY2025 is $150 million at the midpoint, in line with analyst expectations
  • Operating Margin: -0.4%, up from -7.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $17.18 billion

Company Overview

Founded by Expedia co-founders Lloyd Frink and Rich Barton, Zillow (NASDAQ: ZG) is the leading U.S. online real estate marketplace.

Revenue Growth

A companyโ€™s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul. Zillow struggled to consistently generate demand over the last five years as its sales dropped at a 6.6% annual rate. This was below our standards and suggests itโ€™s a low quality business.

Zillow Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new product or trend. Zillowโ€™s annualized revenue growth of 14.1% over the last two years is above its five-year trend, but we were still disappointed by the results. Zillow Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Zillow reported year-on-year revenue growth of 16.4%, and its $676 million of revenue exceeded Wall Streetโ€™s estimates by 0.8%. Company management is currently guiding for a 17.3% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 14.9% over the next 12 months, similar to its two-year rate. This projection is above average for the sector and indicates its newer products and services will help sustain its recent top-line performance.

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Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Zillowโ€™s operating margin has risen over the last 12 months, but it still averaged negative 7% over the last two years. This is due to its large expense base and inefficient cost structure.

Zillow Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Zillow generated a negative 0.4% operating margin. The company's consistent lack of profits raise a flag.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a companyโ€™s growth is profitable.

Although Zillowโ€™s full-year earnings are still negative, it reduced its losses and improved its EPS by 37.8% annually over the last five years. The next few quarters will be critical for assessing its long-term profitability.

Zillow Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

In Q3, Zillow reported EPS of $0.04, up from negative $0.09 in the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analystsโ€™ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street is optimistic. Analysts forecast Zillowโ€™s full-year EPS of negative $0.14 will flip to positive $0.45.

Key Takeaways from Zillowโ€™s Q3 Results

It was good to see Zillow beat analystsโ€™ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also glad its revenue guidance for next quarter slightly exceeded Wall Streetโ€™s estimates. Overall, this print had some key positives. The stock traded up 3.8% to $71.42 immediately after reporting.

Zillow put up rock-solid earnings, but one quarter doesnโ€™t necessarily make the stock a buy. Letโ€™s see if this is a good investment. We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, itโ€™s free for active Edge members.

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