JELD-WEN (NYSE:JELD) Misses Q3 Sales Expectations, Stock Drops 12.7%

JELD Cover Image

Building products manufacturer JELD-WEN (NYSE: JELD) fell short of the markets revenue expectations in Q3 CY2025, with sales falling 13.4% year on year to $809.5 million. The companyโ€™s full-year revenue guidance of $3.15 billion at the midpoint came in 2.9% below analystsโ€™ estimates. Its non-GAAP loss of $0.20 per share was significantly below analystsโ€™ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy JELD-WEN? Find out by accessing our full research report, itโ€™s free for active Edge members.

JELD-WEN (JELD) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $809.5 million vs analyst estimates of $825.7 million (13.4% year-on-year decline, 2% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: -$0.20 vs analyst estimates of $0.14 (significant miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $44.4 million vs analyst estimates of $57.56 million (5.5% margin, 22.9% miss)
  • The company dropped its revenue guidance for the full year to $3.15 billion at the midpoint from $3.3 billion, a 4.5% decrease
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $112.5 million at the midpoint, below analyst estimates of $173.2 million
  • Operating Margin: -25%, down from -5.6% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow was -$13.1 million compared to -$6.2 million in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 10% year on year vs analyst estimates of 6,546,484,250% declines (654,648,424,000 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $370.6 million

"Third-quarter results fell short of our expectations due to persistent market headwinds and price-cost pressures," said Chief Executive Officer William J. Christensen.

Company Overview

Founded in the 1960s as a general wood-making company, JELD-WEN (NYSE: JELD) manufactures doors, windows, and other related building products.

Revenue Growth

A companyโ€™s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. JELD-WEN struggled to consistently generate demand over the last five years as its sales dropped at a 4.5% annual rate. This was below our standards and is a sign of poor business quality.

JELD-WEN Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. JELD-WENโ€™s recent performance shows its demand remained suppressed as its revenue has declined by 13.9% annually over the last two years. JELD-WEN Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the companyโ€™s sales dynamics by analyzing its organic revenue, which strips out one-time events like acquisitions and currency fluctuations that donโ€™t accurately reflect its fundamentals. Over the last two years, JELD-WENโ€™s organic revenue averaged 12.9% year-on-year declines. Because this number aligns with its two-year revenue growth, we can see the companyโ€™s core operations (not acquisitions and divestitures) drove most of its results. JELD-WEN Organic Revenue Growth

This quarter, JELD-WEN missed Wall Streetโ€™s estimates and reported a rather uninspiring 13.4% year-on-year revenue decline, generating $809.5 million of revenue.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months. While this projection suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

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Operating Margin

JELD-WEN was roughly breakeven when averaging the last five years of quarterly operating profits, inadequate for an industrials business. This result isnโ€™t too surprising given its low gross margin as a starting point.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, JELD-WENโ€™s operating margin decreased by 19.3 percentage points over the last five years. JELD-WENโ€™s performance was poor no matter how you look at it - it shows that costs were rising and it couldnโ€™t pass them onto its customers.

JELD-WEN Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q3, JELD-WEN generated an operating margin profit margin of negative 25%, down 19.4 percentage points year on year. Since JELD-WENโ€™s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead increased.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a companyโ€™s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth โ€“ for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Sadly for JELD-WEN, its EPS declined by 18.9% annually over the last five years, more than its revenue. This tells us the company struggled because its fixed cost base made it difficult to adjust to shrinking demand.

JELD-WEN Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of JELD-WENโ€™s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. As we mentioned earlier, JELD-WENโ€™s operating margin declined by 19.3 percentage points over the last five years. This was the most relevant factor (aside from the revenue impact) behind its lower earnings; interest expenses and taxes can also affect EPS but donโ€™t tell us as much about a companyโ€™s fundamentals.

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For JELD-WEN, its two-year annual EPS declines of 51.2% show itโ€™s continued to underperform. These results were bad no matter how you slice the data.

In Q3, JELD-WEN reported adjusted EPS of negative $0.20, down from $0.32 in the same quarter last year. This print missed analystsโ€™ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street is optimistic. Analysts forecast JELD-WENโ€™s full-year EPS of negative $0.51 will flip to positive $0.34.

Key Takeaways from JELD-WENโ€™s Q3 Results

This was a bad quarter, with revenue and EBITDA missing expectations. Full-year revenue guidance was lowered and EBITDA guidance came in below Wall Street's estimates. Overall, this was a very weak quarter. The stock traded down 12.7% to $3.65 immediately following the results.

JELD-WENโ€™s earnings report left more to be desired. Letโ€™s look forward to see if this quarter has created an opportunity to buy the stock. The latest quarter does matter, but not nearly as much as longer-term fundamentals and valuation, when deciding if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, itโ€™s free for active Edge members.

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