MACOM (MTSI): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q4 Earnings?

MTSI Cover Image

Over the past six months, MACOMโ€™s shares (currently trading at $100.51) have posted a disappointing 7.4% loss while the S&P 500 was down 1.6%. This might have investors contemplating their next move.

Following the drawdown, is now the time to buy MTSI? Find out in our full research report, itโ€™s free.

Why Does MACOM Spark Debate?

Founded in the 1950s as Microwave Associates, a communications supplier to the US Army Signal Corp, today MACOM Technology Solutions (NASDAQ: MTSI) is a provider of analog chips used in optical, wireless, and satellite networks.

Two Things to Like:

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Shows Strong Momentum

A companyโ€™s long-term performance is an indicator of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Luckily, MACOMโ€™s sales grew at a solid 11% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. Its growth surpassed the average semiconductor company and shows its offerings resonate with customers. Semiconductors are a cyclical industry, and long-term investors should be prepared for periods of high growth followed by periods of revenue contractions.MACOM Quarterly Revenue

2. Outstanding Long-Term EPS Growth

Analyzing the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) shows whether a company's incremental sales were profitable โ€“ for example, revenue could be inflated through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

MACOMโ€™s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last five years. This is a good sign and shows itโ€™s at an inflection point.

MACOM Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

One Reason to be Careful:

Free Cash Flow Margin Dropping

If youโ€™ve followed StockStory for a while, you know we emphasize free cash flow. Why, you ask? We believe that in the end, cash is king, and you canโ€™t use accounting profits to pay the bills.

As you can see below, MACOMโ€™s margin dropped by 5.3 percentage points over the last five years. If its declines continue, it could signal increasing investment needs and capital intensity. MACOMโ€™s free cash flow margin for the trailing 12 months was 21.9%.

MACOM Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin

Final Judgment

MACOM has huge potential even though it has some open questions. After the recent drawdown, the stock trades at 27.8ร— forward price-to-earnings (or $100.51 per share). Is now the time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, itโ€™s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than MACOM

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trumpโ€™s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, weโ€™re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driverโ€™s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Sterling Infrastructure (+1,096% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

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