FOX (NASDAQ:FOXA) Delivers Impressive Q1

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Cable news and media network Fox (NASDAQ: FOXA) reported Q1 CY2025 results topping the marketโ€™s revenue expectations, with sales up 26.8% year on year to $4.37 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.10 per share was 22.6% above analystsโ€™ consensus estimates.

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FOX (FOXA) Q1 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $4.37 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.19 billion (26.8% year-on-year growth, 4.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.10 vs analyst estimates of $0.90 (22.6% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $856 million vs analyst estimates of $734.9 million (19.6% margin, 16.5% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 10.8%, down from 22.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 44.4%, up from 40.4% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $21.95 billion

Company Overview

Founded in 1915, Fox (NASDAQ: FOXA) is a diversified media company, operating prominent cable news, television broadcasting, and digital media platforms.

Sales Growth

Reviewing a companyโ€™s long-term sales performance reveals insights into its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Unfortunately, FOXโ€™s 5.4% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This was below our standard for the consumer discretionary sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

FOX Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. FOXโ€™s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 3.9% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. FOX Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

We can better understand the companyโ€™s revenue dynamics by analyzing its most important segments, Advertising and Affiliate, which are 46.6% and 45.9% of revenue. Over the last two years, FOXโ€™s Advertising revenue (marketing services) averaged 4.5% year-on-year growth while its Affiliate revenue (licensing and retransmission fees) averaged 4.2% growth.

This quarter, FOX reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 26.8%, and its $4.37 billion of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 4.3%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to decline by 5.2% over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection doesn't excite us and suggests its products and services will face some demand challenges.

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Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

FOXโ€™s operating margin might fluctuated slightly over the last 12 months but has generally stayed the same, averaging 17.4% over the last two years. This profitability was top-notch for a consumer discretionary business, showing itโ€™s an well-run company with an efficient cost structure.

FOX Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q1, FOX generated an operating profit margin of 10.8%, down 12 percentage points year on year. This contraction shows it was less efficient because its expenses grew faster than its revenue.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a companyโ€™s growth is profitable.

FOXโ€™s EPS grew at a decent 12.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 5.4% annualized revenue growth. However, this alone doesnโ€™t tell us much about its business quality because its operating margin didnโ€™t expand.

FOX Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q1, FOX reported EPS at $1.10, in line with the same quarter last year. This print easily cleared analystsโ€™ estimates, and shareholders should be content with the results. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects FOXโ€™s full-year EPS of $4.41 to shrink by 10.1%.

Key Takeaways from FOXโ€™s Q1 Results

We enjoyed seeing FOX beat analystsโ€™ revenue, EPS, and EBITDA expectations this quarter. Zooming out, we think this quarter featured some important positives. The stock traded up 1.4% to $51 immediately following the results.

FOX put up rock-solid earnings, but one quarter doesnโ€™t necessarily make the stock a buy. Letโ€™s see if this is a good investment. We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, itโ€™s free.

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