ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

This High-Yield Dividend Stock Is Beaten Down, But Wall Street Still Loves It

The AI-RAN market is expected to exceed $200 billion by 2030, as leading telecom companies pour large sums into new network equipment and infrastructure across the industry. Nvidia (NVDA) and Nokia (NOK) recently agreed to a $1 billion partnership to add AI-RAN products for commercial networks into Nokia’s RAN portfolio, with T-Mobile (TMUS) set to begin trials in 2026, and this is already changing how investors look at traditional telecom names that have strong existing networks and steady cash generation.

Within this backdrop, AT&T (T) has drawn fresh attention from Wall Street analysts. On Nov. 12, KeyBanc Capital Markets upgraded AT&T to “Overweight” from “Sector Weight” and set a $30 price target, which points to roughly 19% upside from recent trading levels.  

 

Analyst Brandon Nispel argued that the latest pullback was driven by what he called “overblown” concerns about wireless competition. From its September high of $29.79, T stock had fallen about 13.6%, creating what many analysts now see as an appealing entry point. At the same time, AT&T trades with a 4.33% dividend yield, well above the roughly 2.6% average for the communications sector, giving income-focused investors a clear payout advantage.

Is AT&T's combination of high yield and beaten-down valuation finally the compelling entry point income investors have been waiting for? Let’s find out.

Inside AT&T’s Numbers and Dividend Strength

AT&T is one of the biggest telecom companies in the U.S. It focuses mostly on wireless phone service and fast broadband internet through fiber connections, covering millions of homes and businesses.

After some tough years, T stock is starting to show life again. In the last year, shares are up 12.5%, and they’ve gained 12% so far this year.

www.barchart.com

Looking at value, AT&T trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 12.52x, which is lower than the average of 15.62x for the sector. Even with steady profits and a large market share, the company still sells at a discount compared to its peers. For investors wanting regular income, AT&T stands out, offering a 4.33% annual dividend yield. That’s much higher than the industry average of 2.62%. Its last dividend was $0.278 per share, paid on Oct. 10, and the payout ratio is about 51.35%, showing the dividend is secure.

In the third quarter of 2025, AT&T brought in $30.7 billion in revenue, $0.54 in adjusted earnings per share, and $11.9 billion in adjusted EBITDA. Free cash flow hit $4.9 billion, a bit above last year’s $4.6 billion. The company added 405,000 postpaid phone customers, grew mobility service revenue 2.3% to $16.9 billion, and increased its fiber and internet subscribers by more than half a million. With $10.2 billion in operating cash flow and $5.3 billion spent on new investments, AT&T keeps building up its financial strength and leading the way in network services.

The Fundamental Story Behind T Stock

AT&T’s partnership with Boldyn Networks recently took a big step forward by bringing full 5G cell service to subway riders on parts of New York City’s G Line, connecting Court Square and Bedford–Nostrand Avenue. This follows its earlier move in the Joralemon Street tunnel, which means AT&T is now the first company to offer cell coverage in both subway corridors. 

Alongside its network upgrades, AT&T is also making an impact in education. Teaming up again with the Scratch Foundation, the company invested $250,000 to help teachers and students get better at using technology. Together, they are offering online resources and interactive classes through AT&T’s digital platform, The Achievery. This effort is set to reach over 1.9 million educators and puts a spotlight on making tech skills and digital access available to more classrooms nationwide.

AT&T is also strengthening its business services through a partnership with Thales (THLLY), launching a new eSIM platform that helps big companies easily and safely manage all their connected devices. Using the latest GSMA IoT standard, this service makes it easier for businesses to handle hundreds or thousands of devices securely, matching strict security rules that update all the time. 

What Analysts See That the Market Doesn’t  

AT&T has stuck with its 2025 targets, planning to spend between $22 billion and $22.5 billion on new investments and expecting free cash flow in the low-to-mid $16 billion range. The company is also aiming for adjusted earnings per share near the top of $1.97 to $2.07.

Goldman Sachs analyst Michael Ng remains positive after seeing the latest results from AT&T. He kept his “Buy” rating and set a price target of $32, explaining that AT&T did better than expected in signing up new postpaid phone and broadband customers. For Ng, strong customer gains mean that the company’s earnings plans look solid and believable. The story behind the numbers is about subscriber growth and network improvements, rather than focusing on old worries from the past.

The overall mood on Wall Street is upbeat. All 30 major analysts are calling AT&T a “Moderate Buy.” That’s unusual for a stock with a history of negative headlines. The average price target stands at $29.80, pointing to an upside of about 17% from its current price.

Conclusion

Putting it all together, AT&T looks less like a value trap and more like a steady, income-rich compounder that the market has simply chosen to discount too heavily for now. With a beaten-down multiple, a yield north of 4%, and reaffirmed guidance that supports both the dividend and continued network investment, the setup for patient investors is quietly attractive. Fresh upgrades and mid-to-high teens upside baked into current price targets suggest the Street is betting this gap between perception and reality will narrow over the next few months. While no outcome is guaranteed, the risk/reward skew argues that AT&T shares are more likely to grind higher from here than revisit the recent lows, especially if execution stays on script.

www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Ebube Jones did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

More news from Barchart

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  220.69
+3.55 (1.63%)
AAPL  271.49
+5.24 (1.97%)
AMD  203.78
-2.24 (-1.09%)
BAC  51.56
+0.56 (1.10%)
GOOG  299.65
+9.67 (3.33%)
META  594.25
+5.10 (0.87%)
MSFT  472.12
-6.31 (-1.32%)
NVDA  178.88
-1.76 (-0.97%)
ORCL  198.76
-11.93 (-5.66%)
TSLA  391.09
-4.14 (-1.05%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.