ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Bridgewater Associates Just Bought QuantumScape Stock. Should You?

Battery stocks have dominated headlines as investors look for the next big breakthrough in range and charging speed. Solid-state batteries are at the center of that excitement, promising faster charging, higher energy density, and safer performance than today’s lithium-ion technology.

QuantumScape (QS) is one of the leading hopefuls in this race. And now it has drawn fresh attention after Ray Dalio’s Bridgewater Associates quietly bought a small stake, about 266,000 shares worth roughly $3.3 million, during Q3 2025. The purchase immediately raised questions: Is this a sign of growing institutional confidence or simply a tiny speculative move from the world’s largest hedge fund?

 

For investors watching the solid-state battery story unfold, here’s what Bridgewater’s move might mean.

About QuantumScape Stock

QuantumScape is a solid-state battery startup trying to revolutionize EV energy storage. Its goal is to make lithium-metal batteries that charge ultra-fast and hold more energy (imagine a Tesla (TSLA) battery doubling its range). The company has no real revenue yet as it’s still in development, but it has top investors like Volkswagen (VWAGY) and PowerCo and strategic partners to bankroll the R&D.

With a modest $9 billion market cap, QS has had a huge year. The stock more than doubled, jumping from around $5 to the mid-teens before settling near $11.50. That surge came from upbeat partnership announcements, fresh tech milestones, and growing excitement about solid-state battery potential.

Following the rally, conventional valuation metrics look rich. For example, QS trades at roughly 6.6x book value, far above the 1.6x industry median. In plain language, investors are paying more than six times what the company is worth on its balance sheet, more than triple what peers pay.

www.barchart.com

Bridgewater’s Move: What Happened 

Bridgewater recently stepped in and revealed a small but noticeable increase in its QS position. The firm first bought a tiny slice of QS in early 2022, and the meaningful move came in Q3 2025. Bridgewater ended the quarter with about 266,200 shares, roughly a $3.28 million stake, after holding almost nothing before. Even so, QS still represents only about 0.01% of Bridgewater’s portfolio, making it a relatively small bet for the fund.

The addition signals some confidence, but it’s just one data point. Bridgewater has followed QS for years and simply decided to add a bit more recently. There was no big public endorsement, and the market hardly reacted since QS was already climbing.

In reality, Bridgewater’s move mostly adds a bit of buzz and might prompt other investors to take another look, but it won’t shift QS’s fundamentals overnight.

QuantumScape Is Burning Cash Yet Has Strong Liquidity

QuantumScape’s latest financials show a company that’s still firmly in development mode but finally starting to see early signs of commercial traction. The company reported no  product revenue in Q3, which is expected for a pre-commercial battery startup, but it did generate $12.8 million in customer “billings.” These billings are essentially invoices tied to joint development work with partners like Volkswagen, not true sales yet, but a meaningful step forward from zero a year ago.

On the expense side, QS continues to burn cash as it invests heavily in R&D and manufacturing scale-up. It posted a GAAP net loss of $105.8 million, with operating cash outflow of about $63.7 million and another $9.6 million going toward capex. 

The good news is that the company’s balance sheet remains strong. QuantumScape ended the quarter with roughly $1 billion in liquidity, including cash, equivalents, and marketable securities, thanks in part to a $263 million equity raise earlier this year that extended its runway into 2029. 

Management also tightened full-year loss guidance, suggesting some cost discipline even as development ramps.

What Do Analysts Say About QS Stock?

Wall Street remains divided on QuantumScape, and most analysts are still cautious. Several firms have raised their price targets but aren’t ready to call QS a “Buy,” quite yet. HSBC lifted its target to $10.5 but cut the stock to “Sell,” citing high risk despite the higher valuation estimate. TD Cowen boosted its target to $16 while keeping a “Hold,” and Baird maintained a “Neutral” view with an $11 target. 

On the bearish end, Goldman Sachs continues to be one of QS’s toughest critics, sticking to a $2.50 target and a “Strong Sell.” Overall, the consensus lands around $9 per share, which is significantly above its current price of $11, with a broader “Sell” outlook.

Analysts also don’t expect meaningful GAAP revenue from QuantumScape anytime soon. Barchart data point to a full-year EPS of about -$0.74 for 2025 and -$0.64 for 2026, with revenue estimates near zero in 2025 and only around $4 million in 2026. That small bump simply reflects early licensing and development fees, not commercial product sales, reinforcing the view that QS remains a long-term, high-risk story.

www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Nauman Khan did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

More news from Barchart

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  233.22
+4.06 (1.77%)
AAPL  278.85
+1.30 (0.47%)
AMD  217.53
+3.29 (1.54%)
BAC  53.65
+0.66 (1.25%)
GOOG  320.12
-0.16 (-0.05%)
META  647.95
+14.34 (2.26%)
MSFT  492.01
+6.51 (1.34%)
NVDA  177.00
-3.26 (-1.81%)
ORCL  201.95
-3.01 (-1.47%)
TSLA  430.17
+3.59 (0.84%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.