ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Dear Seagate Technology Fans, Mark Your Calendars for January 27

Seagate Technology (STX) is set to report its upcoming earnings on Jan. 27. That's a date I'm keeping on the calendar, and I suggest other investors in the market do the same.

This upcoming earnings report could reveal plenty about how Seagate has progressed in its bid to tackle what has continued to be extremely robust demand for hardware directly tied to the artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As a key provider of memory for high-performance computing tasks, Seagate is one of the more overlooked players in the AI boom, in my view. 

 

www.barchart.com

And despite very robust performance in recent years, there are some indications that this recent rally we've seen in Seagate and other NAND and DRAM supplies could continue. Indeed, DRAM is where it's at in terms of the AI revolution (with NAND being typically used for slower or longer-duration tasks). Accordingly, as one of the largest suppliers of DRAM in the market, Seagate is one stock that could continue to outperform.

I know Seagate as one of the top provider software hard-disk drives, and I have one to back up all my files personally. However, the commercial market is much more important for the company, and this is an area of its business that has surged of late. 

Let's dive into what specific analysts are saying about Seagate, and why this stock could be poised for a continuation of its parabolic move thus far in late-2026 and early 2025.

What's the Rub?

Seagate is among the key "vendors likely benefit from a step function in PX when they transition to the next set of [long-term agreements] (likely C2H'26 into CY'27), a shift that isn't yet contemplated by Street models.” That's according to Wall Street analyst Matt Bryson, who covers Seagate stock. His view is that we could be due for a boom in both NAND and DRAM, with Seagate's exposure to both sub-segments of the memory market key to this stock's impressive surge thus far this year. 

With Bryson and others upgrading Seagate on the back of its future potential revenue and earnings growth accelerating higher, this is a stock I think is compelling.

www.barchart.com

Indeed, the company's current fundamentals do align well with this story above. With a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 33x (impressive, considering the roughly four-fold increase in the company's shares since Q2 of last year), this is a stock many growth investors continue to feel is undervalued. So long as Seagate can maintain its profit margin above 15% and deliver the kind of solid revenue growth we've seen in past quarters, I think this is the right take. With a solid balance sheet (look at that debt-to-equity ratio above) and a solid position as a leader in providing much-needed memory to leading AI and data center providers, this is a company that could be very much overlooked in this current environment. 

To be frank, I'm one such investor who hasn't paid enough attention to Seagate, and I'd imagine there are plenty of investors out there like me. 

What Do Other Analysts Think?

The current consensus price target on STX stock sits well below the company's current share price. I'd argue that the key driving factor behind this is the reality that Seagate has a stock chart like few in the market right now. 

www.barchart.com

When a company like Seagate finally sees acceptance from a broad swath of analysts as one that can deliver continuous and sustained revenue and earnings growth, the market can update their models faster than many analysts can revise their price targets. And while Bryson and others have done just that, this is such a fast-moving sector that I'd expect the Street to lag the market for some time. 

Until we see some sort of indication that the supply-and-demand dislocation in the world of memory has abated, this is a stock I think can outperform for quite some time. In my view, STX has one of the best charts in the market and would be one of my top ideas for a short-term momentum trade right now, even ahead of earnings. 


On the date of publication, Chris MacDonald did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  239.30
-2.43 (-1.01%)
AAPL  259.48
+1.20 (0.46%)
AMD  236.73
-15.45 (-6.13%)
BAC  53.20
+0.12 (0.23%)
GOOG  338.53
-0.13 (-0.04%)
META  716.50
-21.81 (-2.95%)
MSFT  430.29
-3.21 (-0.74%)
NVDA  191.13
-1.38 (-0.72%)
ORCL  164.58
-4.43 (-2.62%)
TSLA  430.41
+13.85 (3.32%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.