ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Broadcom Is ‘Sitting on a Sinking Iceberg.’ Why 1 Analyst Is Warning on AVGO Stock Here.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is expected to set fresh records this year, and hyperscalers refuse to cede an inch. They continue to funnel record capital into data centers and advanced computing, determined not to trail their rivals. Into this charged setting, D.A. Davidson has initiated coverage on Broadcom (AVGO).

Analyst Gil Luria argued that the company stands on a “shrinking iceberg” as hyperscalers increasingly favor customized accelerators. He acknowledged AI application-specific integrated circuits’ (ASICs) growing relevance yet questioned the durability of Broadcom’s long-term positioning in that market.

 

The firm warned that the largest customers could internalize more of the AI stack over the next few years. If hyperscalers design more tooling and silicon in-house, suppliers may feel margin pressure. 

On that basis, D.A. Davidson concluded that Broadcom’s AI ASIC exposure does not merit a premium multiple versus leaders such as NVIDIA (NVDA) and assigned the stock a “Neutral” rating. So let us find out whether Broadcom truly stands on a shrinking iceberg or continues to build firmer ground beneath it.

About Broadcom Stock

Headquartered in Palo Alto, California, Broadcom is a global technology powerhouse that develops semiconductor devices and enterprise software. With a market cap of roughly $1.5 trillion, it develops networking chips, wireless and broadband components, storage and server solutions, cybersecurity tools, and cloud infrastructure platforms.

Over the past three months, the stock has slipped 2.55%, reflecting near-term pressure. Yet the broader trend tells a more positive story. Shares have advanced 9% over the past six months and rallied 43.28% across the past 52 weeks, underscoring sustained momentum beyond short-term volatility.

www.barchart.com

From a valuation standpoint, AVGO stock is currently trading at 38.08 times forward-adjusted earnings and 15.90 times sales, both signaling a premium multiple.

In addition, Broadcom has grown its dividends for 15 consecutive years. It pays an annual dividend of $2.60 per share, which equates to a 0.80% yield. The company paid its most recent dividend of $0.65 per share on Dec. 31, 2025, to shareholders of record as of Dec. 22, 2025. 

Broadcom Surpasses Q4 Earnings

On Dec. 11, 2025, Broadcom reported fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 results, wherein revenue reached $18.02 billion, surpassing the $17.49 billion analyst estimate. Total revenue climbed 28.2% year-over-year (YOY) driven largely by a 74% surge in AI chip sales, which totaled $8.2 billion for the quarter.

Broadcom books its AI chip sales within the semiconductor solutions segment, which generated $11.07 billion in revenue, marking a 22% YOY increase. Its infrastructure software segment delivered similar strength, with revenue climbing 26% to $6.94 billion. 

Adjusted EPS rose 37.3% YOY to $1.95, topping the $1.86 Street’s forecast. During the quarter, it also generated $7.703 billion in operating cash flow, spent $237 million on capital expenditures, and delivered $7.47 billion in free cash flow. Few companies convert revenue into liquidity so efficiently.

CEO Hock Tan expects AI chip sales in the current quarter to double YOY to $8.2 billion, spanning custom AI accelerators and networking semiconductors. Moreover, management has guided Q1 fiscal 2026 revenue to approximately $19.1 billion, implying 28% YOY growth. 

On the other hand, analysts project Q1 fiscal year 2026 EPS to rise 19.3% YOY to $1.67. For the full fiscal year 2026, they expect the bottom line to climb 54.5% to $8.70. Looking ahead to fiscal 2027, they forecast a further 40.7% increase to $12.24. 

What Do Analysts Expect for Broadcom Stock?

While D.A. Davidson maintains a Neutral rating and a $335 price target on AVGO, other analysts strike a far more confident tone. At Bernstein SocGen, analyst Stacy Rasgon reiterated an “Outperform” rating and set a $475 price target, emphasizing the company’s technological edge, disciplined XPU roadmap execution, and formidable supply chain scale.

Meanwhile, Blayne Curtis from Jefferies Financial Group reaffirmed his “Buy” rating and established a $500 price target. He has expressed confidence that Broadcom’s core fundamentals will continue to power outperformance.

Wall Street currently assigns AVGO stock a “Strong Buy” overall rating. Among 43 analysts covering the stock, 38 recommend “Strong Buy,” three suggest “Moderate Buy,” and two call for “Hold.” 

Nevertheless, the average price target of $453.77 represents potential upside of 35.7%. Meanwhile, the Street-high target of $535 suggests a gain of 60% from current levels. 

www.barchart.com
www.barchart.com

On the date of publication, Aanchal Sugandh did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here.

 

More news from Barchart

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  207.24
-2.90 (-1.38%)
AAPL  251.64
+0.15 (0.06%)
AMD  205.37
+2.69 (1.33%)
BAC  48.14
+0.62 (1.30%)
GOOG  289.20
-9.82 (-3.28%)
META  592.92
-11.14 (-1.84%)
MSFT  372.74
-10.26 (-2.68%)
NVDA  175.20
-0.44 (-0.25%)
ORCL  147.09
-7.25 (-4.70%)
TSLA  383.03
+2.18 (0.57%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.