ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Home Prices Tick Down 0.1% in July, Fall in 39 of the Top 50 U.S. Metros

This is the third consecutive month of home price declines

U.S. home prices nudged 0.1% lower in July on a seasonally adjusted basis—the third consecutive month that prices posted a monthly decline. That’s according to a new report from Redfin, the real estate brokerage powered by Rocket.

On a year-over-year basis, price growth slowed to 2.9%, the lowest rate recorded in Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI) data going back to 2012.

This is according to the Redfin Home Price Index (RHPI), which uses the repeat-sales pricing method to calculate seasonally adjusted changes in prices of single-family homes. The RHPI measures sale prices of homes that sold during a given period, and how those prices have changed since the last time those same homes sold.

The RHPI has only posted monthly declines on five occasions since 2012: August 2022, December 2022, and now May, June and July of this year.

Price growth has halted because the number of homes for sale has rebounded to pre-pandemic levels, while the number of buyers in the market has declined to the lowest level in more than a decade (excluding the peak of pandemic lockdowns in April 2020). Many would-be homebuyers are reluctant to move because prices are still near record highs, mortgage rates remain elevated and economic uncertainty persists.

“After several years of tight inventory driving relentless price growth, we’re now seeing the opposite dynamic,” said Redfin Senior Economist Sheharyar Bokhari. “Home prices are falling in more U.S. metros than at any point since we began tracking this data in 2012, and the reason is simple: supply is significantly outpacing demand. If homeowners want to sell, they have to meet buyers where they are, which often means lowering prices. It’s a moment where patient, prepared buyers can find deals that simply weren’t possible a year ago.”

Metro-Level Summary: Redfin Home Price Index, July 2025

Home prices fell in 39 of the 50 most populous U.S. metro areas on a seasonally adjusted basis in July, month over month—the highest number of metros to post a monthly decline in RHPI records going back to 2012. The number surpassed the 38 recorded in September 2022, when skyrocketing mortgage rates froze price growth following a two-year buying frenzy.

The biggest decline in July was in West Palm Beach, FL (-2.6%), followed by San Diego (-2.2%) and Austin, TX (-1.9%). Prices increased most in Warren, MI (1.3% month over month), Newark, NJ (0.7%) and San Jose, CA (0.5%).

On a year-over-year basis, prices in New York (11.8%) rose the most, followed by Newark (9.3%) and Nassau County, NY (8.3%). Prices fell the most in Austin (-4.5% year over year), Tampa, FL (-4.2%) and Dallas (-2.6%).

To view the full report, including charts, additional metro-level data and a full methodology, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/home-price-index-july-2025

About Redfin

Redfin is a technology-driven real estate company with the country's most-visited real estate brokerage website. As part of Rocket Companies (NYSE: RKT), Redfin is creating an integrated homeownership platform from search to close to make the dream of homeownership more affordable and accessible for everyone. Redfin’s clients can see homes first with on-demand tours, easily apply for a home loan with Rocket Mortgage, and save thousands in fees while working with a top local agent.

You can find more information about Redfin and get the latest housing market data and research at Redfin.com/news. For more information about Rocket Companies, visit RocketCompanies.com.

Contacts

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.