ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Oil Tankers In Buy Range After Breaking Out Of Bases

Oil Tanker Stocks

When it comes to oil transportation, pipeline companies are attractive due to high yield and stable price performance, but tanker stocks have moved into technical leadership since the start of the year. 

Top-performing tanker companies include TORM PLC (NASDAQ: TRMD), which broke out of a cup-shaped pattern on February 14. It’s now up about 10% from a buy point north of $31.65. 

TORM is worth putting on a watchlist, as it’s currently trading below a recent high of $36.60. It’s holding near its 10-day moving average. The stock may offer a new buy point if it continues to hold above short-term moving averages or even its medium-term 50-day line. 

Earnings Report Could Be A Catalyst

However, before jumping in, be aware: The company is due to report 2022 full-year results on March 16. As with any stock, a piece of unexpected news can potentially send the stock moving sharply in either direction. 

TORM’s revenue and earnings growth accelerated in the past three quarters, and Wall Street is eyeing earnings growth of 27% this year. 

U.K.-based TORM has a market capitalization just shy of $2.6 billion, putting it at the intersection of small- and mid-cap territory. As such, it won’t be the focus of much analyst coverage, as you can see using data compiled by MarketBeat. However, the two analysts who do put ratings on the stock agree on a “buy.” 

TORM is among tanker stocks making a big move lately, but it’s far from the only standout within its industry. Other worthy contenders include: 

  • NYSE: INSW">International Seaways Inc. (NYSE: INSW): The crude transporter was up 35.36% in the past three months. The stock is trading in a similar fashion to TORM, having rallied out of a base, and is now consolidating those gains. Wall Street sees 30% earnings growth this year.
  • Nordic American Tanker Ltd. (NYSE: NAT): Has returned 33.64% in the past month. The stock broke out of a cup-shaped base following its earnings report in late February, rallied to a new high, then pulled back to briefly tag its 10-day moving average. That brief pullback offered a new buy opportunity. The stock rallied to a new high of $4.65 on March 8, but was trading near its session low later in the day, although still with gain of 1.59%.
  • Teekay Tankers (NYSE: TNK): The Bermuda-based company cleared a cup base with a buy point above $36.61 on February 9, then just kept going. Shares got a further lift on February 23, gapping up 13.28% following better-than-anticipated fourth-quarter results. The stock is up 37.11% in the past month and 59.12% in the past three months. 
  • Frontline Plc (NYSE: FRO): The mid-cap cleared a cup-with-handle base above a buy point of $14.60. Shares have rallied a whopping 27% since then. Shares are currently trading slightly above their 10-day moving average. They remain in a buy range as long as they don’t pass their previous high of $19.29. 
  • gained over 3%, also soaring above the 20%-25% profit-taking zone. Analysts expect 37% annualized EPS growth in 2023. The oil tanker reports Q4 earnings in Tuesday's premarket.
  • Tsakos Energy Navigation Ltd. (NYSE: TNP): This Greek company is following a familiar pattern: On February 7, the stock cleared a base that began in November. Shares are up 25.07% in the past month and 41.84% in the past three months. The stock is currently in a buy range after consolidating just above its 50-day average. Would-be investors should be cognizant of not chasing the stock too far beyond its March 8 high of $24.69.

These stocks are trading essentially in unison, as there’s plenty of business to go around, given the industry's current state and the world. 

Benefiting From Geopolitical Events

It may sound callous, but industry analysts say the oil tankers benefit from Russia’s war against Ukraine. Geopolitical events have long benefited particular industries while others suffered, with the pandemic offering perfect examples of each. 

One development driving the boom in the tanker industry is the increase in global crude prices since its early 2020 lows. But the war caused the direct effect of reworking oil tankers’ maritime routes, to avoid zones of conflict. In addition, sanctions have forced many nations to find alternatives to Russian oil. 

As you’ve seen, many of the tanker stocks cleared bases, then rallied, and are now consolidating again. That can offer fresh buy points, but don’t chase stocks if they once again go into rally mode. 

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.