ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

2 Canadian Mid-Cap Dividend Payers Energized For Growth

Oil stocks to buy

Investors on the hunt for little-known stocks setting up for big gains can look north: Two mid-cap Canadian energy companies, Crescent Point Energy Corp. (NYSE: CPG) and Ovintiv Inc. (NYSE: OVV) , gapped higher in early April. 

Both stocks followed the same trajectory as other U.S. and Canadian oil-and-gas companies after OPEC+ said it would slash production by 1.65 million barrels a day. That news sent the entire sector higher, after wobbling in the early months of this year, while tech and communications services rotated back into leadership. 

One of the bigger producers and explorers from up north, Canadian Natural Resources Ltd. (NYSE: CNQ), also gapped higher for the week, and held those gains, as did Crescent Point and Ovintiv. 

Crescent Point has a market capitalization of $4.2 billion, and Ovintiv’s market cap is $9.5 billion, putting them both in mid-cap territory. That’s significant, because smaller companies, including mid-cap stocks, frequently post bigger gains during a rally than larger industry peers. 

Mid-Caps Offer Opportunity

There are some reasons why mid-caps, in particular, may be fertile ground for investors. They typically have sparse analyst coverage and institutional ownership, relative to large companies, which can result in mispricings that can benefit retail investors. For example, by identifying stocks with strong upward or downward trends, retail investors can capitalize on events the broad market largely overlooks. 

Similarly, mid-cap companies undergoing significant corporate events including mergers, and acquisitions may escape the attention of most big investors, who tilt toward the greater liquidity and predictability of large-cap names. 

Growth Through Acquisition

Crescent Point and Ovintiv have another element in common, and one that’s common in the energy industry: They are both in the process of acquiring production assets from other companies.

Within the highly competitive oil and gas industry, companies frequently seek ways to increase profitability and growth, and acquiring assets allows them to accomplish that.

Crescent Point  

Crescent Point Energy shares gapped up on April 3 in heavier-than-normal volume. The stock’s chart shows a consolidation that began in June of last year. The short-term 10-day moving average turned sharply higher following the gap-up, which could be a signal of a rally that’s ready to continue. 

In addition to the OPEC+ cuts, Crescent Point got a boost in late March on news that it would acquire Spartan Delta Corp.’s oil-and-gas assets in Alberta for $1.24 billion. 

Like other oil explorers and producers, both large and small, Crescent Point’s revenue growth decelerated in the past two quarters. You can see the same revenue pattern with Chevron Corp. (NYSE: CVX) and Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE: XOM), for example. A decline in global prices was a key driver. 

Crescent Point continues to post very strong, albeit decelerating, earnings growth. MarketBeat earnings data for Crescent Point show the company beating both sales and earnings views in the past three quarters. 

The company pays a dividend yield of 3.91%.

Ovintiv

Calgary-based Ovintiv specializes in the exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas resources, with operations in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford in Texas, and Montney, and Duvernay in Canada.  

In addition to its oil and gas exploration and production activities, Ovintiv also operates transportation, storage, and marketing of oil and gas products.

It also pays a dividend, with a yield of 2.56%.

The company is acquiring Permian Basin leasehold interests and other assets currently owned jointly by Black Swan Oil & Gas, PetroLegacy Energy and Piedra Resources. The deal is valued at around $4.275 billion.

Ovintiv’s chart shows a correction that has been forming since June, the same time the broader sector began declining in price.

Both revenue and earnings have been declining. MarketBeat earnings data show the company trouncing revenue views in the past two quarters but missing on the bottom line. 

The trend of deceleration is expected to reverse, though, as analysts are eyeing earnings growth of 29% this year, and another 10% expected in 2024. Here, too, as shorter-term moving averages turn higher and cross over longer-term lines, and earnings growth improves, there could be opportunity ahead for investors who track this stock. 

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.