ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Zscaler’s Potential Upside Continues to Explode

zscaler stock price

For a stock that was just starting to experience what a 200% rally felt like, the past month has sure been a wake-up call for Zscaler Inc (NASDAQ: ZS). Having caught the wave of risk-on sentiment that began to sweep equity markets in November, the cyber-security tech stock was unable to maintain the momentum through the end of Q1. This was even as the broader market, and other tech stocks in particular continued to see gains. 

Sure, the benchmark S&P 500 index is currently experiencing its worst selloff of the year, as inflation threatens to make a comeback, but that only started three weeks ago. Zscaler’s 35% drop since the start of February serves as its own reminder to investors: just as tech stocks can outpace the market in a rally, they can undoubtedly outpace it in a selloff. 

However, with Zscaler’s stock’s relative strength index (RSI) in the low 20s, indicating extremely oversold conditions, the question has to be asked: could we be looking at the mother of all entry opportunities? 

Reasons to be Bullish

[content-module:CompanyOverview|NASDAQ: ZS]

Beyond the technical indicators supporting this thesis, there are the fundamentals to consider. Zscaler smashed analyst expectations for their Q2 earnings last month, reporting both a record revenue and earnings per share print. The company also boosted its forward guidance for the entire year, ahead of the consensus; something in and of itself is usually enough to spark a fiery rally. 

But instead, Zscaler shares have continued to sink and dipped to a new low during Friday’s session. This has not only undone a large portion of the recovery rally that had been underway since May of last year, but it’s also put them back trading at 2020 levels.  

However, even though the tape might tell its own story, the Wall Street analysts aren’t buying it. Since the start of last month, there’s been a run of bullish analyst upgrades, comments, and price targets on the stock that all point to an upside potential that’s only increasing. 

Run of Analyst Upgrades

Take JMP Securities, for example, who, in the aftermath of Zscaler’s knockout earnings, reiterated their Market Outperform rating and gave the stock a price target of $270. Rosenblatt Securities took a similar stance, only with a price target of $290. As Zscaler shares have continued to trade down in the weeks since, the teams at Robert W. Baird, Truist, Macquarie, and KeyCorp have all joined the bull camp, and all have price targets well up in the $200s. 

For those of us on the sidelines, this gives some exciting pause for thought. Zscaler shares closed out last week under $170; against Rosenblatt’s price target of $290, that’s pointing to an upside of 70%. Taking even one of the more recently refreshed price targets, like KeyCorp’s $220 last Thursday, investors can be targeting at least 30% of gains in the near term. 

Getting Involved

With both the technical indicators and strong fundamental performance underpinning these lofty price targets, there’s a lot to like about Zscaler right now. There’s no doubt that the stock has gotten caught up in the risk-off sentiment that is shaving month’s worth of gains from equities in just a few weeks, but this is a tech stock that can actually point to some genuinely impressive growth and momentum in all the right spots. If nothing else, consider this: since the first time Zscaler traded at these prices back in 2020, its revenue has more than quadrupled while posting consistent quarter-on-quarter growth.   

In terms of picking a starting point, those of our readers considering a position should watch for a strong day of gains to initiate a bottom. If Zscaler shares can begin to consolidate above that low, if not altogether start an immediate recovery rally, we could be looking at a reasonably strong entry opportunity to take advantage of.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  211.71
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  252.62
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  220.27
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  48.75
+0.00 (0.00%)
GOOG  289.59
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  594.89
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  371.04
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  178.68
+0.00 (0.00%)
ORCL  146.02
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  385.95
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.