ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

2 Safe-Haven Stocks Shielded From Import Tariffs

GDANSK, POLAND - MARCH 18, 2018. Brand new Goodyear car tyre with label with information about safety, fuel efficiency and external tyre noise. The Goodyear is an American multinational tire manufacturing company. — Stock Editorial Photography

President Trump’s import tariffs are causing a lot of concern on Wall Street. The one-month reprieve on the 25% import tariffs on Mexico and Canada comes to an end on March 1.

The talk of reciprocal tariffs and auto tariffs continues to put pressure on stocks. Tariff talk has caused many investors to seek safe havens or take a risk-off approach to investing. While there’s no such thing as a 100% hedge, here are two safe havens to consider from import tariffs while also generating growth and income.

Goodyear: It’s Finally Going to Be a Good Year for This Company   

[content-module:CompanyOverview|NASDAQ: GT]

The nation's largest tire wholesaler, Goodyear Tire & Rubber Co.(NASDAQ: GT), may finally be seeing its turnaround efforts pay off. The company had been plagued with headwinds from weak auto sales to commodities inflation, which kept rubber prices high.

Famed activist investor Elliott Management took a $2 billion stake in the company in 2023, pushing for a turnaround, and its efforts may also be panning out.

The company has been divesting non-core assets and implementing its Goodyear Forward strategy, which has delivered over half a billion dollars in transformation benefits.

Here's How Goodyear Gains From Import Tariffs

While the talk of auto tariffs is spooking the autos/tires/trucks sector, Goodyear may actually benefit. Its competitors are all foreign tire makers like Michelin (OTCMKTS: MGDDY) and Bridgestone Co. (OTCMKTS: BRDCY), with manufacturing plants located in Mexico and Canada, making them susceptible to 25% tariffs.

Additionally, they source much of their rubber from China, which can add further costs. While Goodyear has 48 global facilities, it has 17 plants that manufacture tires in the United States.

Goodyear has the largest tire manufacturing footprint in the United States. These plants supply tires to the U.S., enabling them to bypass import tariffs. Additionally, less than 2% of their North American tire sales come from China.

In fact, import tariffs can be beneficial to them as there may be less competition from tariff-jacked imports, enabling Goodyear Tire to stay price-competitive. Goodyear also saw a surge in purchases from OEMs to front-run potential tariffs.

Goodyear Forward Plan Gains Traction in Q4

Under its turnaround strategy, Goodyear sold its Dunlop Brand to Sumitomo Rubber Industries for $701 million. The company expects to reduce its segment income by approximately $65 million per year.

[content-module:Forecast|NASDAQ: GT]

The impact doesn't take into consideration other financial benefits resulting from the deal, including interest expense savings associated with the expected debt repayment.

Goodyear posted Q4 2024 EPS of 39 cents per share, beating consensus analyst estimates by 9 cents. Revenues fell 3.3% YoY to $4.95 billion, beating $4.85 billion consensus estimates.

Tire unit volumes reached 43.6 million. Adjusted net income was $114 million, down from $135 million in the year-ago period. Cash flows rose to $1.3 billion.

CEO Mark Stewart commented, "As I reflect on my first year at Goodyear, I am pleased with the progress we have made. We exceeded our full-year 2024 Goodyear Forward expectations and raised our targets for 2025, grew earnings and segment operating margins across all business units, and successfully reached agreements to divest non-core assets as part of our comprehensive strategic review. Moving forward, we remain committed to achieving our expanded Goodyear Forward targets, including further margin expansion and meaningful debt reduction.”

Exelon: Domestic Utility Focused With Minimal Import Exposure   

[content-module:CompanyOverview|NASDAQ: EXC]

Domestic regulated utility services provider Exelon Co. (NASDAQ: EXC) is a United States utility giant running power generation and distribution across Illinois, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and Maryland.

The company serves 10.7 million customers through six regulated transmission and distribution utilities. In 2022, it was split from deregulated power producer Constellation Energy Co. (NASDAQ: CEG).

The company doesn’t face import tariffs as everything is produced in the United States. Furthermore, as a utility stock, it provides a haven during volatile markets and offers a 0.50% dividend.

The freezing temperatures of the 2025 winter are spiking energy prices and consumption, which is bolstering its stock, which is trading up 15.28% year-to-date (YTD) as of February 21, 2025.

Solid Momentum in Q4 and Into the New Year

[content-module:Forecast|NASDAQ: EXC]

Exelon reported Q4 2024 Eos of 64 cents, beating consensus estimates by 5 cents.

Revenues rose 1.9% YoY to $5.47 billion, crushing $4.51 billion consensus estimates.

The company plans to invest $38 billion in CapEx in the next four years, which is 10% higher than previously planned, to support grid reliability. 

This will grow the base rate by 7.4% and operating EPS compounded annual growth of 5-7% from 2024 to 2028.

Exelon issued upside full-year 2025 guidance of EPS between $2.64 to $2.74 versus $2.63 consensus estimates.

Where Should You Invest $1,000 Right Now?

Before you make your next trade, you'll want to hear this.

MarketBeat keeps track of Wall Street's top-rated and best performing research analysts and the stocks they recommend to their clients on a daily basis.

Our team has identified the five stocks that top analysts are quietly whispering to their clients to buy now before the broader market catches on... and none of the big name stocks were on the list.

They believe these five stocks are the five best companies for investors to buy now...

See The Five Stocks Here

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  251.14
-2.86 (-1.13%)
AAPL  269.89
+0.84 (0.31%)
AMD  254.22
-5.43 (-2.09%)
BAC  53.55
-0.01 (-0.02%)
GOOG  278.39
-5.73 (-2.01%)
META  631.85
-5.86 (-0.92%)
MSFT  513.02
-4.01 (-0.78%)
NVDA  200.74
-6.14 (-2.97%)
ORCL  250.68
-7.17 (-2.78%)
TSLA  450.93
-17.44 (-3.72%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.