ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Momentum Stock for Long-Term Investors and 2 We Ignore

PZZA Cover Image

Great things are happening to the stocks in this article. They’re all outperforming the market over the last month because of positive catalysts such as a new product line, constructive news flow, or even a loyal Reddit fanbase.

However, not all companies with momentum are long-term winners, and many investors have lost money by following short-term trends. On that note, here is one stock with the fundamentals to back up its performance and two best left ignored.

Two Momentum Stocks to Sell:

Papa John's (PZZA)

One-Month Return: +15.8%

Founded by the eclectic John “Papa John” Schnatter, Papa John’s (NASDAQ: PZZA) is a globally recognized pizza delivery and carryout chain known for “better ingredients” and “better pizza”.

Why Are We Hesitant About PZZA?

  1. Weak same-store sales trends over the past two years suggest there may be few opportunities in its core markets to open new restaurants
  2. Estimated sales growth of 1.5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its six-year trend
  3. Lacking pricing power results in an inferior gross margin of 14.8% that must be offset by turning more tables

At $55.50 per share, Papa John's trades at 27.4x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with PZZA, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Mayville Engineering (MEC)

One-Month Return: +21%

Originally founded solely on tool and die manufacturing, Mayville Engineering Company (NYSE: MEC) specializes in metal fabrication, tube bending, and welding to be used in various industries.

Why Are We Out on MEC?

  1. Annual sales declines of 2% for the past two years show its products and services struggled to connect with the market during this cycle
  2. High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 12.8% that must be offset through higher volumes
  3. Earnings per share have dipped by 43.3% annually over the past two years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term

Mayville Engineering is trading at $16.52 per share, or 94.8x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why MEC doesn’t pass our bar.

One Momentum Stock to Buy:

Powell (POWL)

One-Month Return: +19.5%

Originally a metal-working shop supporting local petrochemical facilities, Powell (NYSE: POWL) has grown from a small Houston manufacturer to a global provider of electrical systems.

Why Will POWL Beat the Market?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 28.7% over the past two years was outstanding, reflecting market share gains this cycle
  2. Performance over the past two years shows its incremental sales were extremely profitable, as its annual earnings per share growth of 124% outpaced its revenue gains
  3. Free cash flow margin expanded by 12.8 percentage points over the last five years, providing additional flexibility for investments and share buybacks/dividends

Powell’s stock price of $362 implies a valuation ratio of 25.2x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2025, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  244.22
+21.36 (9.58%)
AAPL  270.37
-1.03 (-0.38%)
AMD  256.12
+1.28 (0.50%)
BAC  53.45
+0.42 (0.79%)
GOOG  281.82
-0.08 (-0.03%)
META  648.35
-18.12 (-2.72%)
MSFT  517.81
-7.95 (-1.51%)
NVDA  202.49
-0.40 (-0.20%)
ORCL  262.61
+5.72 (2.23%)
TSLA  456.56
+16.46 (3.74%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.