ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Small-Cap Stocks We Find Risky

QLYS Cover Image

Many small-cap stocks have limited Wall Street coverage, giving savvy investors the chance to act before everyone else catches on. But the flip side is that these businesses have increased downside risk because they lack the scale and staying power of their larger competitors.

The downside that can come from buying these securities is precisely why we started StockStory - to isolate the long-term winners from the losers so you can invest with confidence. That said, here are three small-cap stocks to avoid and some other investments you should consider instead.

Qualys (QLYS)

Market Cap: $4.73 billion

Originally developed to address the growing complexity of IT security in the cloud era, Qualys (NASDAQ: QLYS) provides a cloud-based platform that helps organizations identify, manage, and protect their IT assets from cyber threats across on-premises, cloud, and mobile environments.

Why Do We Think Twice About QLYS?

  1. Underwhelming ARR growth of 9.6% over the last year suggests the company faced challenges in acquiring and retaining long-term customers
  2. Estimated sales growth of 6.8% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Operating margin didn’t move over the last year, showing it couldn’t increase its efficiency

Qualys’s stock price of $132.40 implies a valuation ratio of 7x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with QLYS, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Upstart (UPST)

Market Cap: $5.00 billion

Using over 2,500 data variables and trained on nearly 82 million repayment events, Upstart (NASDAQ: UPST) is an AI-powered lending platform that uses machine learning to help banks and credit unions more accurately assess borrower risk for personal loans, auto loans, and home equity lines of credit.

Why Does UPST Give Us Pause?

  1. Competitive market means the company must spend more on sales and marketing to stand out even if the return on investment is low
  2. Cash burn makes us question whether it can achieve sustainable long-term growth
  3. Depletion of cash reserves could lead to a fundraising event that triggers shareholder dilution

Upstart is trading at $52.02 per share, or 4.4x forward price-to-sales. If you’re considering UPST for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Edgewell Personal Care (EPC)

Market Cap: $949.7 million

Boasting brands such as Banana Boat, Schick, and Skintimate, Edgewell Personal Care (NYSE: EPC) sells personal care products in the skin and sun care, shave, and feminine care categories.

Why Should You Sell EPC?

  1. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  2. Performance over the past three years shows each sale was less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 2.6% annually
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 4.9 percentage points over the last year, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

At $20.44 per share, Edgewell Personal Care trades at 6.4x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why EPC doesn’t pass our bar.

Stocks We Like More

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  227.46
+3.25 (1.45%)
AAPL  265.87
+3.05 (1.16%)
AMD  255.53
+2.61 (1.03%)
BAC  52.66
+0.09 (0.16%)
GOOG  265.86
+5.35 (2.05%)
META  750.91
+12.55 (1.70%)
MSFT  529.34
+5.73 (1.09%)
NVDA  190.25
+3.99 (2.14%)
ORCL  281.10
-2.23 (-0.79%)
TSLA  444.46
+10.74 (2.48%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.