ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

5 Insightful Analyst Questions From Sunrun’s Q3 Earnings Call

RUN Cover Image

Sunrun’s third quarter was marked by strong top-line growth, with management highlighting cost efficiencies and a rapid increase in storage adoption as key contributors. Despite exceeding Wall Street’s revenue expectations, the market reacted negatively, reflecting concerns over lower-than-expected GAAP earnings. CEO Mary Powell described the quarter as one where Sunrun “delivered higher unit margins and considerably more cash generation,” attributing performance to disciplined execution and a focus on storage-first strategies. Management acknowledged that while profitability improved, increased battery hardware and installation costs pressured margins.

Is now the time to buy RUN? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Sunrun (RUN) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $724.6 million vs analyst estimates of $592 million (34.9% year-on-year growth, 22.4% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.06 vs analyst expectations of $0.12 (48.7% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $185.2 million vs analyst estimates of $74.77 million (25.6% margin, significant beat)
  • Operating Margin: 0.5%, up from -23.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Customers: 1.14 million, up from 1.11 million in the previous quarter
  • Annual Recurring Revenue: $1.86 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.80 billion (22.3% year-on-year growth, 3.3% beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $4.51 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Sunrun’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Brian Lee (Goldman Sachs) asked about the new asset monetization structure’s impact on cash generation and GAAP reporting. CFO Danny Abajian explained the shift would show more revenue upfront and partially simplify financials, with long-term net cash generation unaffected.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith (Jefferies) pressed CEO Mary Powell on volume outlook for 2026 and beyond. Powell reiterated the focus on margins and recurring customer value, declining to guide specifically on volume but emphasizing share gains and disciplined growth.

  • Julien Dumoulin-Smith (Jefferies) also questioned the competitive threat of prepaid solar leases. President Paul Dickson responded that such models may suit niche segments but are not seen as a major threat to Sunrun’s core business, citing higher complexity and less favorable economics.

  • Ameet Thakkar (BMO Capital Markets) sought clarification on whether Q3 cash generation would have been negative absent the new asset sale structure. Abajian clarified that the transaction was complementary and would not have materially altered net cash generation under previous methods.

  • Vikram Bagri (Citi) inquired about declining G&A expenses per customer and the sustainability of platform services margins. Abajian attributed margin improvement to operating leverage, higher value storage sales, and cost discipline, expecting similar trends to continue.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our team will be monitoring (1) the continued ramp of storage attachment rates and Flex product adoption, (2) the execution and impact of the new asset monetization strategy on cash flows and profitability, and (3) how Sunrun manages cost pressures amid shifting supply chain and policy incentives. The company’s ability to expand grid service programs and recurring revenue streams will also be key to tracking progress against long-term strategic goals.

Sunrun currently trades at $19.44, down from $20.37 just before the earnings. Is the company at an inflection point that warrants a buy or sell? See for yourself in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

The Best Stocks for High-Quality Investors

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  220.69
+3.55 (1.63%)
AAPL  271.49
+5.24 (1.97%)
AMD  203.78
-2.24 (-1.09%)
BAC  51.56
+0.56 (1.10%)
GOOG  299.65
+9.67 (3.33%)
META  594.25
+5.10 (0.87%)
MSFT  472.12
-6.31 (-1.32%)
NVDA  178.88
-1.76 (-0.97%)
ORCL  198.76
-11.93 (-5.66%)
TSLA  391.09
-4.14 (-1.05%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.