ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Small-Cap Stocks That Fall Short

MED Cover Image

Investors looking for hidden gems should keep an eye on small-cap stocks because they’re frequently overlooked by Wall Street. Many opportunities exist in this part of the market, but it is also a high-risk, high-reward environment due to the lack of reliable analyst price targets.

The downside that can come from buying these securities is precisely why we started StockStory - to isolate the long-term winners from the losers so you can invest with confidence. That said, here are three small-cap stocks to avoid and some other investments you should consider instead.

Medifast (MED)

Market Cap: $109.8 million

Known for its Optavia program that combines portion-controlled meal replacements with coaching, Medifast (NYSE: MED) has a broad product portfolio of bars, snacks, drinks, and desserts for those looking to lose weight or consume healthier foods.

Why Should You Sell MED?

  1. Sales tumbled by 36% annually over the last three years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  2. Subscale operations are evident in its revenue base of $429.7 million, meaning it has fewer distribution channels than its larger rivals
  3. Earnings per share decreased by more than its revenue over the last three years, showing each sale was less profitable

At $10.68 per share, Medifast trades at 0.4x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with MED, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Quanex (NX)

Market Cap: $546.9 million

Starting in the seamless tube industry, Quanex (NYSE: NX) manufactures building products like window, door, kitchen, and bath cabinet components.

Why Does NX Worry Us?

  1. Earnings per share fell by 9.6% annually over the last two years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
  2. Free cash flow margin shrank by 6.2 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
  3. Waning returns on capital from an already weak starting point displays the inefficacy of management’s past and current investment decisions

Quanex’s stock price of $11.99 implies a valuation ratio of 6.1x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why NX doesn’t pass our bar.

MillerKnoll (MLKN)

Market Cap: $1.04 billion

Created through the 2021 merger of industry icons Herman Miller and Knoll, MillerKnoll (NASDAQ: MLKN) designs, manufactures, and distributes interior furnishings for offices, healthcare facilities, educational settings, and homes worldwide.

Why Are We Out on MLKN?

  1. Products and services are facing significant end-market challenges during this cycle as sales have declined by 2.1% annually over the last two years
  2. Anticipated sales growth of 1.2% for the next year implies demand will be shaky
  3. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 7.2% annually while its revenue grew

MillerKnoll is trading at $15.28 per share, or 7.9x forward P/E. If you’re considering MLKN for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  232.14
+3.71 (1.62%)
AAPL  272.36
+1.39 (0.51%)
AMD  214.86
-0.09 (-0.04%)
BAC  55.97
+0.09 (0.16%)
GOOG  315.64
+4.31 (1.38%)
META  664.84
+3.34 (0.50%)
MSFT  486.85
+1.93 (0.40%)
NVDA  189.21
+5.52 (3.01%)
ORCL  195.34
-3.04 (-1.53%)
TSLA  485.56
-3.17 (-0.65%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.