ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Small-Cap Stocks We Steer Clear Of

DBX Cover Image

Small-cap stocks can be incredibly lucrative investments because their lack of analyst coverage leads to frequent mispricings. However, these businesses (and their stock prices) often stay small because their subscale operations make it harder to expand their competitive moats.

Luckily for you, our mission at StockStory is to help you make money and avoid losses by sorting the winners from the losers. That said, here are three small-cap stocks to swipe left on and some alternatives you should look into instead.

Dropbox (DBX)

Market Cap: $7.67 billion

Originally named after the founders' tendency to "drop" files into a shared folder, Dropbox (NASDAQ: DBX) provides a content collaboration platform that helps individuals and teams store, organize, share, and work on files from anywhere.

Why Do We Think DBX Will Underperform?

  1. Flat billings over the last year suggest it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy to reinvigorate demand
  2. Sales are projected to tank by 1.3% over the next 12 months as demand evaporates
  3. Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last year as its operating margin fell by 1.9 percentage points

Dropbox is trading at $29.65 per share, or 3.1x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than DBX.

Silgan Holdings (SLGN)

Market Cap: $4.20 billion

Established in 1987, Silgan Holdings (NYSE: SLGN) is a supplier of rigid packaging for consumer goods products, specializing in metal containers, closures, and plastic packaging.

Why Do We Pass on SLGN?

  1. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  2. Gross margin of 16.8% reflects its high production costs
  3. Poor free cash flow margin of 1.5% for the last five years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends

At $39.74 per share, Silgan Holdings trades at 10.2x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with SLGN, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Exponent (EXPO)

Market Cap: $3.52 billion

With a team of over 800 consultants holding advanced degrees in 90+ technical disciplines, Exponent (NASDAQ: EXPO) is a science and engineering consulting firm that investigates complex problems and provides expert analysis for clients across various industries.

Why Does EXPO Fall Short?

  1. 3.5% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its business services peers
  2. Annual earnings per share growth of 1.8% underperformed its revenue over the last two years, showing its incremental sales were less profitable
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

Exponent’s stock price of $70.66 implies a valuation ratio of 31.3x forward P/E. If you’re considering EXPO for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

If your portfolio success hinges on just 4 stocks, your wealth is built on fragile ground. You have a small window to secure high-quality assets before the market widens and these prices disappear.

Don’t wait for the next volatility shock. Check out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  233.22
+4.06 (1.77%)
AAPL  278.85
+1.30 (0.47%)
AMD  217.53
+3.29 (1.54%)
BAC  53.65
+0.66 (1.25%)
GOOG  320.12
-0.16 (-0.05%)
META  647.95
+14.34 (2.26%)
MSFT  492.01
+6.51 (1.34%)
NVDA  177.00
-3.26 (-1.81%)
ORCL  201.95
-3.01 (-1.47%)
TSLA  430.17
+3.59 (0.84%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.