ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Greenbrier’s Q3 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

GBX Cover Image

Greenbrier’s third quarter results were met with a negative market reaction, as the company’s revenue and earnings per share both fell short of Wall Street expectations. Management identified subdued demand for new railcars and a challenging macroeconomic environment as primary factors behind the performance. CEO Lorie Leeson emphasized the company’s focus on operational improvements, noting, “We achieved record financial results for 2025 on 2,000 fewer deliveries than in the prior year.”

Is now the time to buy GBX? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Greenbrier (GBX) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $759.5 million vs analyst estimates of $764.1 million (27.9% year-on-year decline, 0.6% miss)
  • EPS (GAAP): $1.15 vs analyst expectations of $1.18 (2.3% miss)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $110.1 million vs analyst estimates of $105.2 million (14.5% margin, 4.6% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP) guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $4.25 at the midpoint, missing analyst estimates by 14.6%
  • Operating Margin: 9.5%, down from 11.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Sales Volumes fell 45.5% year on year (-71.2% in the same quarter last year)
  • Market Capitalization: $1.30 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Greenbrier’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Ken Hoexter (Bank of America) asked about the outlook for railcar builds and whether European operations could offset softness in North America. EVP Brian Comstock indicated the company expects a low point in the current cycle but is seeing signs of recovery, especially in tank cars and restoration programs.
  • Ken Hoexter (Bank of America) followed up on the impact of Mexico facility improvements and tariffs. CEO Lorie Leeson explained the in-sourcing project in Mexico had strengthened margins, while Comstock noted Greenbrier’s contracts and U.S. footprint provide some insulation from tariff volatility.
  • Ken Hoexter (Bank of America) questioned the extent of European rationalization. Leeson clarified that the consolidation reduced overhead without affecting total capacity, and Comstock added that further rationalization opportunities remain, especially in North America.
  • Bascome Majors (Susquehanna) probed the cadence of production, asking if the plan assumes back-end loaded deliveries. VP Justin Roberts confirmed expectations for higher output in the second half, driven by both backlog and anticipated customer orders.
  • Bascome Majors (Susquehanna) asked about margin drivers beyond cost takeout. Roberts detailed that efficiency projects during the slower first half would support improved margins, while programmatic railcar restoration in new car facilities would enhance returns.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the upcoming quarters, the StockStory team will be monitoring (1) the pace of order recovery and whether anticipated second-half production ramps materialize, (2) the success of European cost rationalization efforts and the impact on margins, and (3) continued growth and profitability in the Leasing & Fleet Management segment. Execution on these fronts will be critical to Greenbrier’s ability to navigate industry headwinds and maintain financial resilience.

Greenbrier currently trades at $41.84, down from $45.25 just before the earnings. Is there an opportunity in the stock?The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Donald Trump’s April 2025 "Liberation Day" tariffs sent markets into a tailspin, but stocks have since rebounded strongly, proving that knee-jerk reactions often create the best buying opportunities.

The smart money is already positioning for the next leg up. Don’t miss out on the recovery - check out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  220.31
+3.18 (1.46%)
AAPL  272.87
+6.62 (2.49%)
AMD  207.00
+0.98 (0.48%)
BAC  51.69
+0.69 (1.34%)
GOOG  300.96
+10.98 (3.78%)
META  596.50
+7.35 (1.25%)
MSFT  476.45
-1.98 (-0.41%)
NVDA  184.05
+3.41 (1.89%)
ORCL  200.26
-10.43 (-4.95%)
TSLA  402.12
+6.89 (1.74%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.