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The 5 Most Interesting Analyst Questions From Carlisle’s Q3 Earnings Call

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Carlisle’s third quarter was marked by stable overall sales but continued challenges in new construction and distribution channels, leading to a positive but measured market reaction. Management credited recurring reroofing activity and contributions from recent acquisitions for supporting results, while acknowledging that "continued weakness in new construction is driven by the continuation of higher interest rates, affordability challenges and economic uncertainty around inflation," according to CEO Chris Koch. Ongoing integration of acquired businesses and distribution partner turbulence also weighed on performance, though the core CCM segment delivered steady margins despite these headwinds.

Is now the time to buy CSL? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Carlisle (CSL) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.35 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.33 billion (flat year on year, 1.2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $5.61 vs analyst estimates of $5.36 (4.8% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $348.7 million vs analyst estimates of $336.8 million (25.9% margin, 3.5% beat)
  • Operating Margin: 21.8%, down from 23.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 2.1% year on year vs analyst estimates of 3.7% declines (163.8 basis point beat)
  • Market Capitalization: $13.63 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Carlisle’s Q3 Earnings Call

  • Timothy Wojs (Baird) asked about the impact of channel destocking on performance and inventory normalization. CEO Chris Koch said destocking was in line with seasonal patterns and expects inventory to normalize by 2026 if macro conditions improve.

  • Susan Maklari (Goldman Sachs) questioned how the company leverages the Carlisle Experience to gain share amid competitive pressures. Koch emphasized the importance of customer service, rapid response programs, and tracking shipment visibility for contractors.

  • Joseph Nolan (Longbow Research) inquired about price versus volume trends in CCM and expectations for cost recovery. CFO Kevin Zdimal said pricing and volumes were flat, with raw material inflation offsetting gains, and expects similar trends in the next quarter.

  • Garik Shmois (Loop Capital) probed market share changes following distributor M&A disruption. Koch admitted to minor share losses tied to the channel partner but described the impact as temporary and expects to recover as integration stabilizes.

  • Tomohiko Sano (JPMorgan) sought clarity on pricing outlook tied to new product launches in 2026. Koch stated that new and enhanced products should support price increases if volumes recover, with focus on demonstrating value to customers.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In future quarters, we will be monitoring (1) the pace of recovery in new construction and stabilization in distributor channels, (2) continued margin performance as input inflation and channel mix shift persist, and (3) the rollout and commercial traction of Carlisle’s new products targeting labor savings and energy efficiency. Progress on M&A integration and execution of the Vision 2030 innovation pipeline will also be key signposts for operational momentum.

Carlisle currently trades at $326.94, down from $330.35 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

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