What Happened?
Shares of industrial construction and maintenance company Matrix Service (NASDAQ: MTRX) fell 8.5% in the morning session after the company reported mixed results for its third quarter of 2025. While revenue grew 28% year-over-year to $211.9 million, beating analyst expectations, the company posted an adjusted loss of $0.01 per share, which missed the consensus forecast for a profit of $0.02. Furthermore, profitability metrics disappointed investors, with adjusted EBITDA falling 45.3% short of estimates and free cash flow turning significantly negative to -$27.91 million compared to a positive $9.97 million in the same quarter last year. Although the company reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance, the earnings miss and weaker-than-expected profitability overshadowed the strong sales growth, leading to the decline in its stock price.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Matrix Service’s shares are quite volatile and have had 17 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.
The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was about 2 months ago when the stock dropped 12.6% on the news that the company reported disappointing second-quarter 2025 results and issued a weaker-than-expected forecast for the full year. The company posted Q2 revenue of $216.4 million, missing analyst estimates of $232.2 million. The bottom line was even more concerning, with an adjusted loss of $0.28 per share, a significant miss compared to Wall Street's expectation of a $0.02 profit and wider than the $0.14 loss from the same period last year. Looking ahead, the industrial construction firm guided for full-year revenue between $875 million and $925 million, with the midpoint falling below analysts' forecasts. This combination of missing current-quarter expectations and providing a soft outlook weighed on the stock.
Matrix Service is up 10% since the beginning of the year, but at $13.24 per share, it is still trading 16.3% below its 52-week high of $15.82 from July 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Matrix Service’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,613.
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