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3 Hyped Up Stocks That Concern Us

TWLO Cover Image

Great things are happening to the stocks in this article. They’re all outperforming the market over the last month because of positive catalysts such as a new product line, constructive news flow, or even a loyal Reddit fanbase.

But not every company with momentum is a long-term winner, and plenty of investors have lost money betting on short-term fads. On that note, here are three stocks getting more buzz than they deserve and some you should buy instead.

Twilio (TWLO)

One-Month Return: +19.5%

Known for the clever "Twilio Magic" demo that had developers creating functioning communications apps in minutes, Twilio (NYSE: TWLO) provides a platform that enables businesses to communicate with their customers through voice, messaging, email, and other digital channels.

Why Are We Hesitant About TWLO?

  1. Average billings growth of 13.5% over the last year was subpar, suggesting it struggled to push its software and might have to lower prices to stimulate demand
  2. Anticipated sales growth of 9.3% for the next year implies demand will be shaky
  3. Gross margin of 49.4% is way below its competitors, leaving less money to invest in areas like marketing and R&D

Twilio is trading at $128.47 per share, or 3.8x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than TWLO.

WeightWatchers (WW)

One-Month Return: +31.4%

Known by many for its old cable television commercials, WeightWatchers (NASDAQ: WW) is a wellness company offering a range of products and services promoting weight loss and healthy habits.

Why Are We Cautious About WW?

  1. Performance surrounding its members has lagged its peers
  2. Poor free cash flow margin of -0.8% for the last two years limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

WeightWatchers’s stock price of $34.32 implies a valuation ratio of 15.7x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with WW, check out our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Hillenbrand (HI)

One-Month Return: +20.9%

Hillenbrand, Inc. (NYSE: HI) is an industrial company that designs, manufactures, and sells highly engineered processing equipment and solutions for various industries.

Why Should You Dump HI?

  1. 3.5% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its industrials peers
  2. Capital intensity has ramped up over the last five years as its free cash flow margin decreased by 18.9 percentage points
  3. Waning returns on capital imply its previous profit engines are losing steam

At $31.44 per share, Hillenbrand trades at 13x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why HI doesn’t pass our bar.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

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