ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Cash-Heavy Stock with Exciting Potential and 2 That Underwhelm

ESTC Cover Image

Companies with more cash than debt can be financially resilient, but that doesn’t mean they’re all strong investments. Some lack leverage because they struggle to grow or generate consistent profits, making them unattractive borrowers.

Financial flexibility is valuable, but it’s not everything - at StockStory, we help you find the stocks that can not only survive but also outperform. Keeping that in mind, here is one company with a net cash position that can continue growing sustainably and two with hidden risks.

Two Stocks to Sell:

Elastic (ESTC)

Net Cash Position: $805.4 million (10.8% of Market Cap)

Built on the powerful open-source Elasticsearch technology that powers search functionality for thousands of websites worldwide, Elastic (NYSE: ESTC) provides a search and AI platform that helps organizations find insights from their data, monitor applications, and protect against security threats.

Why Does ESTC Give Us Pause?

  1. Products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy may need some adjustments as its 13.9% average billings growth over the last year was weak
  2. Estimated sales growth of 13.6% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its two-year trend
  3. Operating margin improvement of 5.9 percentage points over the last year demonstrates its ability to scale efficiently

Elastic’s stock price of $70.30 implies a valuation ratio of 4.1x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than ESTC.

Strategic Education (STRA)

Net Cash Position: $55 million (3% of Market Cap)

Formed through the merger of Strayer Education and Capella Education in 2018, Strategic Education (NASDAQ: STRA) is a career-focused higher education provider.

Why Do We Avoid STRA?

  1. Sluggish trends in its domestic students suggest customers aren’t adopting its solutions as quickly as the company hoped
  2. Earnings per share fell by 5.2% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
  3. Free cash flow margin is not anticipated to grow over the next year

At $78.02 per share, Strategic Education trades at 12.6x forward P/E. If you’re considering STRA for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

One Stock to Buy:

Duolingo (DUOL)

Net Cash Position: $1.03 billion (11.6% of Market Cap)

Founded by a Carnegie Mellon computer science professor and his Ph.D. student, Duolingo (NASDAQ: DUOL) is a mobile app helping people learn new languages.

Why Are We Backing DUOL?

  1. Monthly Active Users have increased by an average of 33.1% annually, giving it the potential for margin-accretive growth if it can develop valuable complementary products and features
  2. Performance over the past three years shows its incremental sales were extremely profitable, as its annual earnings per share growth of 259% outpaced its revenue gains
  3. DUOL is a free cash flow machine with the flexibility to invest in growth initiatives or return capital to shareholders, and its improved cash conversion implies it’s becoming a less capital-intensive business

Duolingo is trading at $189.25 per share, or 26.2x forward EV/EBITDA. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.

The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  232.38
-2.04 (-0.87%)
AAPL  284.15
-2.04 (-0.71%)
AMD  217.60
+2.36 (1.10%)
BAC  54.09
+0.90 (1.69%)
GOOG  320.62
+4.60 (1.46%)
META  639.60
-7.50 (-1.16%)
MSFT  477.73
-12.27 (-2.50%)
NVDA  179.59
-1.87 (-1.03%)
ORCL  207.73
+6.63 (3.30%)
TSLA  446.74
+17.50 (4.08%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.