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Analog Devices (ADI): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q3 Earnings?

ADI Cover Image

Analog Devices has followed the market’s trajectory closely, rising in tandem with the S&P 500 over the past six months. The stock has climbed by 18.2% to $275.75 per share while the index has gained 13.4%.

Is there a buying opportunity in Analog Devices, or does it present a risk to your portfolio? See what our analysts have to say in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Why Is Analog Devices Not Exciting?

We're sitting this one out for now. Here are two reasons there are better opportunities than ADI and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Revenue Tumbling Downwards

Long-term growth is the most important, but short-term results matter for semiconductors because the rapid pace of technological innovation (Moore's Law) could make yesterday's hit product obsolete today. Analog Devices’s recent performance marks a sharp pivot from its five-year trend as its revenue has shown annualized declines of 5.4% over the last two years. Analog Devices Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

2. Previous Growth Initiatives Haven’t Impressed

Growth gives us insight into a company’s long-term potential, but how capital-efficient was that growth? Enter ROIC, a metric showing how much operating profit a company generates relative to the money it has raised (debt and equity).

Analog Devices historically did a mediocre job investing in profitable growth initiatives. Its five-year average ROIC was 5.9%, somewhat low compared to the best semiconductor companies that consistently pump out 35%+.

Analog Devices Trailing 12-Month Return On Invested Capital

Final Judgment

Analog Devices isn’t a terrible business, but it doesn’t pass our quality test. That said, the stock currently trades at 28.2× forward P/E (or $275.75 per share). While this valuation is fair, the upside isn’t great compared to the potential downside. We're fairly confident there are better investments elsewhere. We’d recommend looking at a top digital advertising platform riding the creator economy.

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