ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Industrials Stock with Promising Prospects and 2 Facing Challenges

ERII Cover Image

Whether you see them or not, industrials businesses play a crucial part in our daily activities. Their momentum is also rising as lower interest rates have incentivized higher capital spending. As a result, the industry has posted a 18.1% gain over the past six months, beating the S&P 500 by 3.7 percentage points.

Nevertheless, investors must be mindful as the cycle can unexpectedly turn. When this inevitably happens, only the elite companies will survive and ultimately thrive. On that note, here is one industrials stock poised to generate sustainable market-beating returns and two best left ignored.

Two Industrials Stocks to Sell:

ESAB (ESAB)

Market Cap: $7.05 billion

Having played a significant role in the construction of the iconic Sydney Opera House, ESAB (NYSE: ESAB) manufactures and sells welding and cutting equipment for numerous industries.

Why Are We Cautious About ESAB?

  1. Flat sales over the last two years suggest it must find different ways to grow during this cycle
  2. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  3. Free cash flow margin shrank by 3.2 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive

ESAB is trading at $116.14 per share, or 19.9x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including ESAB in your portfolio.

Allison Transmission (ALSN)

Market Cap: $8.31 billion

Helping build race cars at one point, Allison Transmission (NYSE: ALSN) offers transmissions to original equipment manufacturers and fleet operators.

Why Do We Think Twice About ALSN?

  1. 1.5% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its industrials peers
  2. Forecasted revenue decline of 4.8% for the upcoming 12 months implies demand will fall off a cliff
  3. Earnings growth over the last two years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 6.3% annually

At $99.87 per share, Allison Transmission trades at 13.8x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than ALSN.

One Industrials Stock to Watch:

Energy Recovery (ERII)

Market Cap: $766.5 million

Having saved far more than a trillion gallons of water, Energy Recovery (NASDAQ: ERII) provides energy recovery devices to the water treatment, oil and gas, and chemical processing sectors.

Why Are We Fans of ERII?

  1. Offerings are difficult to replicate at scale and result in a best-in-class gross margin of 67.6%
  2. Share repurchases have amplified shareholder returns as its annual earnings per share growth of 42.6% exceeded its revenue gains over the last two years
  3. Free cash flow margin jumped by 6.3 percentage points over the last five years, giving the company more resources to pursue growth initiatives, repurchase shares, or pay dividends

Energy Recovery’s stock price of $14.47 implies a valuation ratio of 17.2x forward P/E. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

The market’s up big this year - but there’s a catch. Just 4 stocks account for half the S&P 500’s entire gain. That kind of concentration makes investors nervous, and for good reason. While everyone piles into the same crowded names, smart investors are hunting quality where no one’s looking - and paying a fraction of the price. Check out the high-quality names we’ve flagged in our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  222.18
-0.36 (-0.16%)
AAPL  273.78
-0.33 (-0.12%)
AMD  207.80
+0.22 (0.11%)
BAC  54.99
-0.34 (-0.61%)
GOOG  306.08
-3.24 (-1.05%)
META  655.36
+7.85 (1.21%)
MSFT  475.26
+0.44 (0.09%)
NVDA  176.64
+0.35 (0.20%)
ORCL  188.56
+3.64 (1.97%)
TSLA  480.05
+4.74 (1.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.