ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Overrated Stocks We Keep Off Our Radar

EXPD Cover Image

The stocks in this article are all trading near their 52-week highs. This strength often reflects positive developments such as new product launches, favorable industry trends, or improved financial performance.

But not every company with momentum is a long-term winner, and plenty of investors have lost money betting on short-term fads. All that said, here are three overhyped stocks that may correct and some you should consider instead.

Expeditors (EXPD)

One-Month Return: +9.1%

Expeditors (NYSE: EXPD) offers air and ocean freight as well as brokerage services.

Why Does EXPD Fall Short?

  1. Annual sales growth of 3.3% over the last two years lagged behind its industrials peers as its large revenue base made it difficult to generate incremental demand
  2. Competitive supply chain dynamics and steep production costs are reflected in its low gross margin of 13.4%
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

At $148.11 per share, Expeditors trades at 25x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including EXPD in your portfolio.

TopBuild (BLD)

One-Month Return: +7.4%

Established in 2015 following a spinoff from Masco Corporation, TopBuild (NYSE: BLD) is a distributor and installer of insulation and other building products.

Why Is BLD Not Exciting?

  1. Flat sales over the last two years suggest it must find different ways to grow during this cycle
  2. Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
  3. Earnings per share lagged its peers over the last two years as they only grew by 2.5% annually

TopBuild is trading at $449.83 per share, or 21.6x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than BLD.

Morgan Stanley (MS)

One-Month Return: +6.2%

Founded in 1924 during the post-WWI economic boom by former JP Morgan partners, Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) is a global financial services firm that provides investment banking, wealth management, and investment management services to corporations, governments, institutions, and individuals.

Why Do We Think Twice About MS?

  1. Large asset base makes it harder to grow tangible book value per share quickly, and its annual tangible book value per share growth of 1.7% over the last five years was below our standards for the financials sector

Morgan Stanley’s stock price of $174.10 implies a valuation ratio of 16.2x forward P/E. If you’re considering MS for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Stocks We Like More

Your portfolio can’t afford to be based on yesterday’s story. The risk in a handful of heavily crowded stocks is rising daily.

The names generating the next wave of massive growth are right here in our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 244% over the last five years (as of June 30, 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,326% between June 2020 and June 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  227.55
-4.83 (-2.08%)
AAPL  280.54
-3.61 (-1.27%)
AMD  217.98
+0.38 (0.17%)
BAC  54.51
+0.42 (0.78%)
GOOG  317.04
-3.58 (-1.12%)
META  665.71
+26.11 (4.08%)
MSFT  477.65
-0.08 (-0.02%)
NVDA  182.91
+3.32 (1.85%)
ORCL  211.59
+3.87 (1.86%)
TSLA  449.10
+2.36 (0.53%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.