ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Stitch Fix (NASDAQ:SFIX) Beats Q3 CY2025 Sales Expectations

SFIX Cover Image

Personalized clothing company Stitch Fix (NASDAQ: SFIX) reported Q3 CY2025 results beating Wall Street’s revenue expectations, with sales up 7.3% year on year to $342.1 million. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($337.5 million at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 9.6% above what analysts were expecting. Its GAAP loss of $0.05 per share was in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Stitch Fix? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free for active Edge members.

Stitch Fix (SFIX) Q3 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $342.1 million vs analyst estimates of $337.2 million (7.3% year-on-year growth, 1.5% beat)
  • EPS (GAAP): -$0.05 vs analyst estimates of -$0.04 (in line)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $13.43 million vs analyst estimates of $10.1 million (3.9% margin, 33% beat)
  • The company lifted its revenue guidance for the full year to $1.34 billion at the midpoint from $1.31 billion, a 2.3% increase
  • EBITDA guidance for the full year is $43 million at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $36.97 million
  • Operating Margin: -2.5%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 1.6%, down from 3.1% in the same quarter last year
  • Active Clients: 2.31 million, down 127,000 year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $601.3 million

Company Overview

One of the original subscription box companies, Stitch Fix (NASDAQ: SFIX) is an online personal styling and fashion service that curates personalized clothing selections for customers.

Revenue Growth

Examining a company’s long-term performance can provide clues about its quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Over the last five years, Stitch Fix’s demand was weak and its revenue declined by 6% per year. This wasn’t a great result and is a sign of poor business quality.

Stitch Fix Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within consumer discretionary, product cycles are short and revenue can be hit-driven due to rapidly changing trends and consumer preferences. Stitch Fix’s recent performance shows its demand remained suppressed as its revenue has declined by 7.7% annually over the last two years. Stitch Fix Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

Stitch Fix also discloses its number of active clients, which reached 2.31 million in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, Stitch Fix’s active clients averaged 14.3% year-on-year declines. Because this number is lower than its revenue growth during the same period, we can see the company’s monetization has risen. Stitch Fix Active Clients

This quarter, Stitch Fix reported year-on-year revenue growth of 7.3%, and its $342.1 million of revenue exceeded Wall Street’s estimates by 1.5%. Company management is currently guiding for a 8.1% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 2.4% over the next 12 months. Although this projection suggests its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance, it is still below average for the sector.

While Wall Street chases Nvidia at all-time highs, an under-the-radar semiconductor supplier is dominating a critical AI component these giants can’t build without. Click here to access our free report one of our favorites growth stories.

Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Stitch Fix’s operating margin has risen over the last 12 months, but it still averaged negative 5.9% over the last two years. This is due to its large expense base and inefficient cost structure.

Stitch Fix Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

Stitch Fix’s operating margin was negative 2.5% this quarter. The company's consistent lack of profits raise a flag.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

Although Stitch Fix’s full-year earnings are still negative, it reduced its losses and improved its EPS by 16.4% annually over the last five years. The next few quarters will be critical for assessing its long-term profitability.

Stitch Fix Trailing 12-Month EPS (GAAP)

In Q3, Stitch Fix reported EPS of negative $0.05, in line with the same quarter last year. This print missed analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Stitch Fix to improve its earnings losses. Analysts forecast its full-year EPS of negative $0.23 will advance to negative $0.17.

Key Takeaways from Stitch Fix’s Q3 Results

We were impressed by Stitch Fix’s optimistic EBITDA guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts’ expectations. We were also excited its EBITDA outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. On the other hand, its EPS was in line. Zooming out, we think this was a solid print. The stock traded up 3.3% to $4.77 immediately following the results.

Sure, Stitch Fix had a solid quarter, but if we look at the bigger picture, is this stock a buy? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free for active Edge members.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  229.53
+0.42 (0.18%)
AAPL  278.78
-1.92 (-0.68%)
AMD  217.97
+1.99 (0.92%)
BAC  53.95
+0.07 (0.13%)
GOOG  322.09
+3.70 (1.16%)
META  673.42
+11.89 (1.80%)
MSFT  483.16
+2.32 (0.48%)
NVDA  182.41
-0.97 (-0.53%)
ORCL  217.58
+3.25 (1.52%)
TSLA  455.00
+0.47 (0.10%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.