ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Small-Cap Stocks Skating on Thin Ice

DAY Cover Image

Many small-cap stocks have limited Wall Street coverage, giving savvy investors the chance to act before everyone else catches on. But the flip side is that these businesses have increased downside risk because they lack the scale and staying power of their larger competitors.

The downside that can come from buying these securities is precisely why we started StockStory - to isolate the long-term winners from the losers so you can invest with confidence. That said, here are three small-cap stocks to avoid and some other investments you should consider instead.

Dayforce (DAY)

Market Cap: $9.10 billion

Founded in 1992 as Ceridian, an outsourced payroll processor and transformed after the 2012 acquisition of Dayforce, Dayforce (NYSE: DAY) is a provider of cloud based payroll and HR software targeted at mid-sized businesses.

Why Do We Think Twice About DAY?

  1. Revenue increased by 19.8% annually over the last three years, acceptable on an absolute basis but tepid for a software company enjoying secular tailwinds
  2. Gross margin of 50.7% reflects its high servicing costs
  3. Expenses have increased as a percentage of revenue over the last year as its operating margin fell by 2.9 percentage points

At $57.10 per share, Dayforce trades at 4.8x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with DAY, check out our full research report (it’s free).

ICU Medical (ICUI)

Market Cap: $3.52 billion

Founded in 1984, ICU Medical (NASDAQ: ICUI) provides medical devices and systems for infusion therapy, vascular access, and oncology (cancer) care.

Why Are We Cautious About ICUI?

  1. 2% annual revenue growth over the last two years was slower than its healthcare peers
  2. Projected sales decline of 1.4% for the next 12 months points to a tough demand environment ahead
  3. Performance over the past five years shows its incremental sales were much less profitable, as its earnings per share fell by 4.1% annually

ICU Medical’s stock price of $142.50 implies a valuation ratio of 20.6x forward price-to-earnings. If you’re considering ICUI for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Repligen (RGEN)

Market Cap: $8.83 billion

Founded in 1981, Repligen Corporation (NASDAQ: RGEN) develops and manufactures advanced products used in the production of drugs, with a focus on filtration, chromatography, and process analytics.

Why Are We Out on RGEN?

  1. Sales tumbled by 11% annually over the last two years, showing market trends are working against its favor during this cycle
  2. Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
  3. Inability to adjust its cost structure while its revenue declined over the last two years led to a 16 percentage point drop in the company’s adjusted operating margin

Repligen is trading at $155.01 per share, or 92.3x forward price-to-earnings. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why RGEN doesn’t pass our bar.

Stocks We Like More

With rates dropping, inflation stabilizing, and the elections in the rearview mirror, all signs point to the start of a new bull run - and we’re laser-focused on finding the best stocks for this upcoming cycle.

Put yourself in the driver’s seat by checking out our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 175% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2019 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+2,183% between December 2019 and December 2024) as well as under-the-radar businesses like Axon (+711% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.