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Why Atlassian (TEAM) Shares Are Getting Obliterated Today

March 06, 2025 at 15:03 PM EST

ⓘ This article is third-party content and does not represent the views of this site. We make no guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness.

TEAM Cover Image

What Happened?

Shares of IT project management software company, Atlassian (NASDAQ: TEAM) fell 7.4% in the afternoon session as markets tumbled after holding steady the previous day, while concerns over the ongoing trade war continued to spread. Investors briefly felt some optimism after the Trump administration said it would hold off on tariffs for automakers that met USMCA (United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement) rules. That helped the auto sector in particular, and there was perhaps some hope that the door was open to more broadly delaying tariffs. The sentiment seemed to be shifting in the other direction today, and the market is in 'risk-off' mode, with sectors such as tech seeing outsized declines. As of this writing, the S&P 500 had fallen 7% from where it closed on February 19th and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 10% over the same period.

The stock market overreacts to news, and big price drops can present good opportunities to buy high-quality stocks. Is now the time to buy Atlassian? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free.

What The Market Is Telling Us

Atlassian’s shares are somewhat volatile and have had 13 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business.

The biggest move we wrote about over the last year was 4 months ago when the stock gained 22.9% on the news that the company reported a "beat and raise" quarter. Third-quarter earnings results beat analysts' revenue expectations, with all-important Cloud segment revenue growth handily beating expectations. Its gross margin also improved. Looking ahead, guidance was strong, with next quarter's cloud revenue growth of 27% year-on-year also above expectations and strong on an absolute basis. The company also raised its full-year revenue guidance for the Cloud and Data Center segments. There had been doubts about top line momentum, especially for Cloud revenue, so this quarter puts a big dent in the bear case. Overall, this was a very solid quarter.

Atlassian is up 4.3% since the beginning of the year, but at $252.70 per share, it is still trading 21.8% below its 52-week high of $322.94 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Atlassian’s shares 5 years ago would now be looking at an investment worth $1,750.

Today’s young investors won’t have read the timeless lessons in Gorilla Game: Picking Winners In High Technology because it was written more than 20 years ago when Microsoft and Apple were first establishing their supremacy. But if we apply the same principles, then enterprise software stocks leveraging their own generative AI capabilities may well be the Gorillas of the future. So, in that spirit, we are excited to present our Special Free Report on a profitable, fast-growing enterprise software stock that is already riding the automation wave and looking to catch the generative AI next.

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