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Reflecting On Transportation and Logistics Stocks’ Q4 Earnings: Union Pacific (NYSE:UNP)

UNP Cover Image

As the Q4 earnings season wraps, let’s dig into this quarter’s best and worst performers in the transportation and logistics industry, including Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) and its peers.

The growth of e-commerce and global trade continues to drive demand for shipping services, presenting opportunities for transportation and logistics companies. The industry continues to invest in advanced technologies such as automated sorting systems and real-time tracking solutions to enhance operational efficiency. Companies that win in this space boast speed, reach, reliability, and last-mile efficiency while those who do not see their market shares diminish. Like other industrials companies, transportation and logistics companies are at the whim of economic cycles. Consumer spending, for example, can greatly impact the demand for these companies’ offerings while fuel costs influence profit margins.

The 30 transportation and logistics stocks we track reported a mixed Q4. As a group, revenues were in line with analysts’ consensus estimates.

Amidst this news, share prices of the companies have had a rough stretch. On average, they are down 21.3% since the latest earnings results.

Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP)

Part of the transcontinental railroad project, Union Pacific (NYSE: UNP) is a freight transportation company that operates a major railroad network.

Union Pacific reported revenues of $6.12 billion, flat year on year. This print fell short of analysts’ expectations by 0.5%, but it was still a satisfactory quarter for the company with a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

“Our strong fourth quarter results represent a great capstone to a very successful year for Union Pacific,” said Jim Vena, Union Pacific Chief Executive Officer.

Union Pacific Total Revenue

The stock is down 6.9% since reporting and currently trades at $219.50.

Is now the time to buy Union Pacific? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Expeditors (NYSE: EXPD)

Expeditors (NYSE: EXPD) offers air and ocean freight as well as brokerage services.

Expeditors reported revenues of $2.95 billion, up 29.7% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 4.3%. The business had a stunning quarter with a solid beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Expeditors Total Revenue

The stock is down 4.5% since reporting. It currently trades at $108.60.

Is now the time to buy Expeditors? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: Avis Budget Group (NASDAQ: CAR)

The parent company of brands such as Zipcar and Budget Truck Rental, Avis (NASDAQ: CAR) is a provider of car rental and mobility solutions.

Avis Budget Group reported revenues of $2.71 billion, down 2% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 1%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

As expected, the stock is down 21% since the results and currently trades at $70.87.

Read our full analysis of Avis Budget Group’s results here.

U-Haul (NYSE: UHAL)

Founded by a husband and wife duo, U-Haul (NYSE: UHAL) is a provider of rental trucks and storage facilities.

U-Haul reported revenues of $1.39 billion, up 3.7% year on year. This result surpassed analysts’ expectations by 3.1%. More broadly, it was a mixed quarter as it logged a significant miss of analysts’ EPS estimates.

The stock is down 14.5% since reporting and currently trades at $61.20.

Read our full, actionable report on U-Haul here, it’s free.

Werner (NASDAQ: WERN)

Conducting business in over a 100 countries, Werner (NASDAQ: WERN) offers full-truckload, less-than-truckload, and intermodal delivery services.

Werner reported revenues of $754.7 million, down 8.2% year on year. This print missed analysts’ expectations by 0.9%. It was a disappointing quarter as it also recorded a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

The stock is down 19.3% since reporting and currently trades at $27.96.

Read our full, actionable report on Werner here, it’s free.

Market Update

Thanks to the Fed’s rate hikes in 2022 and 2023, inflation has been on a steady path downward, easing back toward that 2% sweet spot. Fortunately (miraculously to some), all this tightening didn’t send the economy tumbling into a recession, so here we are, cautiously celebrating a soft landing. The cherry on top? Recent rate cuts (half a point in September 2024, a quarter in November) have propped up markets, especially after Trump’s November win lit a fire under major indices and sent them to all-time highs. However, there’s still plenty to ponder — tariffs, corporate tax cuts, and what 2025 might hold for the economy.

Want to invest in winners with rock-solid fundamentals? Check out our Strong Momentum Stocks and add them to your watchlist. These companies are poised for growth regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate.

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