ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 High-Flying Stock on Our Buy List and 2 to Avoid

BARK Cover Image

Expensive stocks often command premium valuations because the market thinks their business models are exceptional. However, the downside is that high expectations are already baked into their prices, leaving little room for error if they stumble even slightly.

Finding the right balance between price and quality can challenge even the most skilled investors. Luckily for you, we started StockStory to help you identify the real opportunities. That said, here is one high-flying stock with strong fundamentals and two climbing an uphill battle.

Two High-Flying Stocks to Sell:

Bark (BARK)

Forward P/E Ratio: 97.8x

Making a name for itself with the BarkBox, Bark (NYSE: BARK) specializes in subscription-based, personalized pet products.

Why Are We Hesitant About BARK?

  1. Demand for its offerings was relatively low as its number of orders has underwhelmed
  2. Historical operating losses point to an inefficient cost structure
  3. Lacking free cash flow generation means it has few chances to reinvest for growth, repurchase shares, or distribute capital

Bark’s stock price of $1.23 implies a valuation ratio of 97.8x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with BARK, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Penumbra (PEN)

Forward P/E Ratio: 74.3x

Founded in 2004 to address challenging medical conditions with significant unmet needs, Penumbra (NYSE: PEN) develops and manufactures innovative medical devices for treating vascular diseases and providing immersive healthcare rehabilitation solutions.

Why Are We Wary of PEN?

  1. Revenue base of $1.24 billion puts it at a disadvantage compared to larger competitors exhibiting economies of scale
  2. Low free cash flow margin of 3% for the last five years gives it little breathing room, constraining its ability to self-fund growth or return capital to shareholders
  3. Push for growth has led to negative returns on capital, signaling value destruction

Penumbra is trading at $296.50 per share, or 74.3x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why PEN doesn’t pass our bar.

One High-Flying Stock to Buy:

AZEK (AZEK)

Forward P/E Ratio: 33.7x

With a significant portion of its products made from recycled materials, AZEK (NYSE: AZEK) designs and manufactures goods for outdoor living spaces.

Why Is AZEK a Top Pick?

  1. Average organic revenue growth of 12.5% over the past two years demonstrates its ability to expand independently without relying on acquisitions
  2. Share buybacks catapulted its annual earnings per share growth to 57.4%, which outperformed its revenue gains over the last two years
  3. Free cash flow margin jumped by 8.8 percentage points over the last five years, giving the company more resources to pursue growth initiatives, repurchase shares, or pay dividends

At $51.49 per share, AZEK trades at 33.7x forward P/E. Is now a good time to buy? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

The market surged in 2024 and reached record highs after Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November, but questions about new economic policies are adding much uncertainty for 2025.

While the crowd speculates what might happen next, we’re homing in on the companies that can succeed regardless of the political or macroeconomic environment. Put yourself in the driver’s seat and build a durable portfolio by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 176% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.