ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Inflated Stocks with Questionable Fundamentals

WSM Cover Image

The stocks featured in this article are seeing some big returns. Over the past month, they’ve outpaced the market due to new product launches, positive news, or even a dedicated social media following.

While momentum can be a leading indicator, it has burned many investors as it doesn’t always correlate with long-term success. On that note, here are three stocks getting more buzz than they deserve and some you should buy instead.

Williams-Sonoma (WSM)

One-Month Return: +26.1%

Started in 1956 as a store specializing in French cookware, Williams-Sonoma (NYSE: WSM) is a specialty retailer of higher-end kitchenware, home goods, and furniture.

Why Are We Wary of WSM?

  1. Recent store closures and weak same-store sales point to soft demand and an operational restructuring
  2. Weak same-store sales trends over the past two years suggest there may be few opportunities in its core markets to open new locations
  3. 4.8 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last year reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position

Williams-Sonoma is trading at $173.84 per share, or 20.3x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with WSM, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Janus (JBI)

One-Month Return: +40.4%

Standing out with its digital keyless entry into self-storage room technology, Janus (NYSE: JBI) is a provider of easily accessible self-storage solutions.

Why Should You Sell JBI?

  1. Absence of organic revenue growth over the past two years suggests it may have to lean into acquisitions to drive its expansion
  2. Forecasted revenue decline of 4.9% for the upcoming 12 months implies demand will fall even further
  3. Incremental sales over the last four years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 15.3% annually while its revenue grew

At $8.86 per share, Janus trades at 6.6x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering JBI for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

Knight-Swift Transportation (KNX)

One-Month Return: +17.3%

Covering 1.6 billion loaded miles in 2023 alone, Knight-Swift Transportation (NYSE: KNX) offers less-than-truckload and full truckload delivery services.

Why Should You Dump KNX?

  1. Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 1.2% annual growth was below the typical industrials company
  2. Free cash flow margin shrank by 9.5 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive
  3. Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned

Knight-Swift Transportation’s stock price of $45.32 implies a valuation ratio of 23.3x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than KNX.

Stocks We Like More

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 176% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.