ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

2 Reasons to Watch OLLI and 1 to Stay Cautious

OLLI Cover Image

Over the past six months, Ollie's has been a great trade. While the S&P 500 was flat, the stock price has climbed by 27.9% to $116.05 per share. This performance may have investors wondering how to approach the situation.

Is now still a good time to buy OLLI? Or are investors being too optimistic? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Why Does Ollie's Spark Debate?

Often located in suburban or semi-rural shopping centers, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ: OLLI) is a discount retailer that acquires excess inventory then sells at meaningful discounts.

Two Things to Like:

1. New Stores Opening at Breakneck Speed

The number of stores a retailer operates is a critical driver of how quickly company-level sales can grow.

Ollie's sported 559 locations in the latest quarter. Over the last two years, it has opened new stores at a rapid clip by averaging 8.6% annual growth, among the fastest in the consumer retail sector. This gives it a chance to scale into a mid-sized business over time.

When a retailer opens new stores, it usually means it’s investing for growth because demand is greater than supply, especially in areas where consumers may not have a store within reasonable driving distance.

Ollie's Operating Locations

2. Surging Same-Store Sales Show Increasing Demand

Same-store sales show the change in sales for a retailer's e-commerce platform and brick-and-mortar shops that have existed for at least a year. This is a key performance indicator because it measures organic growth.

Ollie’s demand has been spectacular for a retailer over the last two years. On average, the company has increased its same-store sales by an impressive 4.3% per year.

Ollie's Same-Store Sales Growth

One Reason to be Careful:

Fewer Distribution Channels Limit its Ceiling

With $2.27 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Ollie's is a small retailer, which sometimes brings disadvantages compared to larger competitors benefiting from economies of scale and negotiating leverage with suppliers. On the bright side, it can grow faster because it has more white space to build new stores.

Final Judgment

Ollie’s merits more than compensate for its flaws, and with its shares outperforming the market lately, the stock trades at 30.8× forward P/E (or $116.05 per share). Is now a good time to initiate a position? See for yourself in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More Than Ollie's

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 176% over the last five years.

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  229.11
+0.00 (0.00%)
AAPL  280.70
+0.00 (0.00%)
AMD  215.98
+0.00 (0.00%)
BAC  54.16
+0.28 (0.52%)
GOOG  318.39
+0.00 (0.00%)
META  661.53
+0.00 (0.00%)
MSFT  480.84
+0.00 (0.00%)
NVDA  183.38
+0.00 (0.00%)
ORCL  214.33
+0.00 (0.00%)
TSLA  454.53
+0.00 (0.00%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.