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Titan International (TWI): Buy, Sell, or Hold Post Q1 Earnings?

TWI Cover Image

Since November 2024, Titan International has been in a holding pattern, posting a small loss of 1.9% while floating around $7.23.

Is now the time to buy Titan International, or should you be careful about including it in your portfolio? Check out our in-depth research report to see what our analysts have to say, it’s free.

Why Do We Think Titan International Will Underperform?

We're cautious about Titan International. Here are three reasons why there are better opportunities than TWI and a stock we'd rather own.

1. Long-Term Revenue Growth Disappoints

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Regrettably, Titan International’s sales grew at a mediocre 6.1% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the industrials sector. Titan International Quarterly Revenue

2. Low Gross Margin Reveals Weak Structural Profitability

Gross profit margin is a critical metric to track because it sheds light on its pricing power, complexity of products, and ability to procure raw materials, equipment, and labor.

Titan International has bad unit economics for an industrials business, signaling it operates in a competitive market. As you can see below, it averaged a 14% gross margin over the last five years. That means Titan International paid its suppliers a lot of money ($85.95 for every $100 in revenue) to run its business. Titan International Trailing 12-Month Gross Margin

3. EPS Took a Dip Over the Last Two Years

While long-term earnings trends give us the big picture, we also track EPS over a shorter period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

Sadly for Titan International, its EPS declined by more than its revenue over the last two years, dropping 93.4%. This tells us the company struggled to adjust to shrinking demand.

Titan International Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Final Judgment

We see the value of companies helping their customers, but in the case of Titan International, we’re out. That said, the stock currently trades at 19.4× forward P/E (or $7.23 per share). This valuation multiple is fair, but we don’t have much confidence in the company. There are superior stocks to buy right now. We’d suggest looking at a fast-growing restaurant franchise with an A+ ranch dressing sauce.

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