ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 Software Stock with Competitive Advantages and 2 to Keep Off Your Radar

DOCU Cover Image

From commerce to culture, software is digitizing every aspect of our lives. This secular theme makes SaaS companies attractive investment candidates but also comes with higher valuations that cause volatility. Unfortunately, the rich prices have haunted them over the past six months as the industry has shed 8.8%. This drawdown was worse than the S&P 500’s 1.9% decline.

However, some businesses can support their premium valuations with superior earnings growth, and our mission at StockStory is to help you find them. Taking that into account, here is one software stock poised to generate sustainable market-beating returns and two we’re swiping left on.

Two Software Stocks to Sell:

DocuSign (DOCU)

Market Cap: $17.47 billion

Founded by Seattle-based entrepreneur Tom Gonser, DocuSign (NASDAQ: DOCU) is the pioneer of e-signature and offers software as a service that allows people and organisations to sign legally binding documents electronically.

Why Does DOCU Give Us Pause?

  1. Customers had second thoughts about committing to its platform over the last year as its average billings growth of 6.6% underwhelmed
  2. Estimated sales growth of 5.2% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its three-year trend
  3. Customer acquisition costs take a while to recoup, making it difficult to justify sales and marketing investments that could increase revenue

At $85.24 per share, DocuSign trades at 5.9x forward price-to-sales. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than DOCU.

Sprout Social (SPT)

Market Cap: $1.25 billion

Founded by Justyn Howard and Aaron Rankin in 2010, Sprout Social (NASDAQ: SPT) provides a software as a service platform that companies can use to schedule and respond to posts on major social media networks like Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Youtube and LinkedIn.

Why Does SPT Fall Short?

  1. Rapid expansion strategy came at the expense of operating profitability
  2. Poor free cash flow margin of 7.6% for the last year limits its freedom to invest in growth initiatives, execute share buybacks, or pay dividends

Sprout Social is trading at $21.40 per share, or 2.7x forward price-to-sales. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why SPT doesn’t pass our bar.

One Software Stock to Watch:

Toast (TOST)

Market Cap: $24.7 billion

Founded by three MIT engineers at a local Cambridge bar, Toast (NYSE: TOST) provides integrated point-of-sale (POS) hardware, software, and payments solutions for restaurants.

Why Are We Fans of TOST?

  1. ARR trends over the last year show it’s maintaining a steady flow of long-term contracts that contribute positively to its revenue predictability
  2. Estimated revenue growth of 21.1% for the next 12 months implies its momentum over the last three years will continue
  3. Operating margin expanded by 8.3 percentage points over the last year as it scaled and became more efficient

Toast’s stock price of $42.80 implies a valuation ratio of 4.1x forward price-to-sales. Is now the right time to buy? See for yourself in our in-depth research report, it’s free.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 5 Strong Momentum Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.