ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Value Stocks with Mounting Challenges

CHGG Cover Image

Value investing has created more billionaires than any other strategy, like Warren Buffett, who built his fortune by purchasing wonderful businesses at reasonable prices. But these hidden gems are few and far between - many stocks that appear cheap often stay that way because they face structural issues.

Identifying genuine bargains from value traps is something many investors struggle with, which is why we started StockStory - to help you find the best companies. Keeping that in mind, here are three value stocks with little support and some other investments you should consider instead.

Chegg (CHGG)

Forward EV/EBITDA Ratio: 1.7x

Started as a physical textbook rental service, Chegg (NYSE: CHGG) is now a digital platform addressing student pain points by providing study and academic assistance.

Why Should You Sell CHGG?

  1. Value proposition isn’t resonating strongly as its services subscribers averaged 13.4% drops over the last two years
  2. Inability to adjust its cost structure while its revenue declined over the last few years led to a 13.1 percentage point drop in the company’s EBITDA margin
  3. Sales were less profitable over the last three years as its earnings per share fell by 30.8% annually, worse than its revenue declines

Chegg is trading at $1.04 per share, or 1.7x forward EV/EBITDA. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why CHGG doesn’t pass our bar.

IQVIA (IQV)

Forward P/E Ratio: 11.5x

Created from the 2016 merger of Quintiles (a clinical research organization) and IMS Health (a healthcare data specialist), IQVIA (NYSE: IQV) provides clinical research services, data analytics, and technology solutions to help pharmaceutical companies develop and market medications more effectively.

Why Are We Wary of IQV?

  1. Sizable revenue base leads to growth challenges as its 3.4% annual revenue increases over the last two years fell short of other healthcare companies
  2. Underwhelming constant currency revenue performance over the past two years suggests its product offering at current prices doesn’t resonate with customers
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 3 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

IQVIA’s stock price of $140.33 implies a valuation ratio of 11.5x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with IQV, check out our full research report (it’s free).

CSG (CSGS)

Forward P/E Ratio: 13.8x

Powering billions of critical customer interactions annually, CSG Systems (NASDAQ: CSGS) provides cloud-based software platforms that help companies manage customer interactions, process payments, and monetize their services.

Why Do We Avoid CSGS?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 3.4% over the last two years was below our standards for the business services sector
  2. Projected sales growth of 2.5% for the next 12 months suggests sluggish demand
  3. Eroding returns on capital from an already low base indicate that management’s recent investments are destroying value

At $67.33 per share, CSG trades at 13.8x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than CSGS.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.