ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Consumer Stocks in Hot Water

STKL Cover Image

Regarded as defensive investments, consumer staples stocks are generally safe bets in choppy markets. Unfortunately, the sector hasn’t provided much protection lately as it pulled back by 10.6% over the past six months. This drop was particularly disheartening since the S&P 500 held its ground.

Investors should tread carefully as the low switching costs for everyday products mean that not all businesses are created equal. Taking that into account, here are three consumer stocks we’re steering clear of.

SunOpta (STKL)

Market Cap: $697 million

Committed to clean-label foods, SunOpta (NASDAQ: STKL) is a sustainability-focused food and beverage company specializing in the sourcing, processing, and packaging of organic products.

Why Does STKL Fall Short?

  1. Sales tumbled by 4.2% annually over the last three years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  2. Smaller revenue base of $742.7 million means it hasn’t achieved the economies of scale that some industry juggernauts enjoy
  3. Commoditized products, bad unit economics, and high competition are reflected in its low gross margin of 16%

At $5.98 per share, SunOpta trades at 30x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than STKL.

USANA (USNA)

Market Cap: $565.2 million

Going to market with a direct selling model rather than through traditional retailers, USANA Health Sciences (NYSE: USNA) manufactures and sells nutritional, personal care, and skincare products.

Why Is USNA Not Exciting?

  1. Annual revenue declines of 8.7% over the last three years indicate problems with its market positioning
  2. Revenue base of $876.2 million puts it at a disadvantage compared to larger competitors exhibiting economies of scale
  3. Earnings per share decreased by more than its revenue over the last three years, showing each sale was less profitable

USANA’s stock price of $30.35 implies a valuation ratio of 11.2x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with USNA, check out our full research report (it’s free).

PepsiCo (PEP)

Market Cap: $177 billion

With a history that goes back more than a century, PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP) is a household name in food and beverages today and best known for its flagship soda.

Why Does PEP Worry Us?

  1. Large revenue base makes it harder to increase sales quickly, and its annual revenue growth of 4.2% over the last three years was below our standards for the consumer staples sector
  2. Declining unit sales over the past two years indicate demand is soft and that the company may need to revise its product strategy
  3. Demand is forecasted to shrink as its estimated sales for the next 12 months are flat

PepsiCo is trading at $129.19 per share, or 15.5x forward P/E. If you’re considering PEP for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Tecnoglass (+1,754% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.