ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

1 High-Flying Stock to Own for Decades and 2 to Approach with Caution

WBD Cover Image

"You get what you pay for" often applies to expensive stocks with best-in-class business models and execution. While their quality can sometimes justify the premium, they typically experience elevated volatility during market downturns when expectations change.

Separating true intrinsic value from speculation isn’t easy, especially during bull markets. That’s where StockStory comes in - to help you find high-quality companies that will stand the test of time. That said, here is one high-flying stock to hold for the long term and two where the price is not right.

Two High-Flying Stocks to Sell:

Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD)

Forward P/E Ratio: 181.8x

Formed from the merger of WarnerMedia and Discovery, Warner Bros. Discovery (NASDAQ: WBD) is a multinational media and entertainment company, offering television networks, streaming services, and film and television production.

Why Should You Sell WBD?

  1. Sales tumbled by 4.9% annually over the last two years, showing consumer trends are working against its favor
  2. Earnings per share fell by 55.1% annually over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were much less profitable
  3. Diminishing returns on capital from an already low starting point show that neither management’s prior nor current bets are going as planned

Warner Bros. Discovery is trading at $10 per share, or 181.8x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than WBD.

Crane (CR)

Forward P/E Ratio: 30.1x

Based in Connecticut, Crane (NYSE: CR) is a diversified manufacturer of engineered industrial products, including fluid handling, and aerospace technologies.

Why Do We Pass on CR?

  1. Organic revenue growth fell short of our benchmarks over the past two years and implies it may need to improve its products, pricing, or go-to-market strategy
  2. Estimated sales growth of 6.3% for the next 12 months is soft and implies weaker demand
  3. Earnings per share have dipped by 1.4% annually over the past five years, which is concerning because stock prices follow EPS over the long term

Crane’s stock price of $170.82 implies a valuation ratio of 30.1x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including CR in your portfolio.

One High-Flying Stock to Buy:

Howmet (HWM)

Forward P/E Ratio: 51x

Inventing the first forged aluminum truck wheel, Howmet (NYSE: HWM) specializes in lightweight metals engineering and manufacturing multi-material components used in vehicles.

Why Do We Love HWM?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 12.7% over the past two years was outstanding, reflecting market share gains this cycle
  2. Share buybacks catapulted its annual earnings per share growth to 40.5%, which outperformed its revenue gains over the last two years
  3. Free cash flow margin grew by 12.6 percentage points over the last five years, giving the company more chips to play with

At $172.98 per share, Howmet trades at 51x forward P/E. Is now the time to initiate a position? Find out in our full research report, it’s free.

Stocks We Like Even More

Donald Trump’s victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election sent major indices to all-time highs, but stocks have retraced as investors debate the health of the economy and the potential impact of tariffs.

While this leaves much uncertainty around 2025, a few companies are poised for long-term gains regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate, like our Top 5 Growth Stocks for this month. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-micro-cap company Kadant (+351% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.