ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Low-Volatility Stocks with Mounting Challenges

BL Cover Image

Low-volatility stocks may offer stability, but that often comes at the cost of slower growth and the upside potential of more dynamic companies.

Luckily for you, StockStory helps you navigate which companies are truly worth holding. That said, here are three low-volatility stocks to steer clear of and a few better alternatives.

BlackLine (BL)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 0.90

Started in 2001 by software engineer Therese Tucker, one of the very few women founders who took their companies public, BlackLine (NASDAQ: BL) provides software for organizations to automate accounting and finance tasks.

Why Does BL Fall Short?

  1. Customers had second thoughts about committing to its platform over the last year as its average billings growth of 7.4% underwhelmed
  2. Estimated sales growth of 7.5% for the next 12 months implies demand will slow from its three-year trend
  3. Day-to-day expenses have swelled relative to revenue over the last year as its operating margin fell by 2.1 percentage points

BlackLine is trading at $56.01 per share, or 5.1x forward price-to-sales. To fully understand why you should be careful with BL, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Select Medical (SEM)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 0.64

With a nationwide network spanning 46 states and over 2,700 healthcare facilities, Select Medical (NYSE: SEM) operates critical illness recovery hospitals, rehabilitation hospitals, outpatient rehabilitation clinics, and occupational health centers across the United States.

Why Do We Pass on SEM?

  1. Declining admissions over the past two years imply it may need to invest in improvements to get back on track
  2. Sales are expected to decline once again over the next 12 months as it continues working through a challenging demand environment
  3. Free cash flow margin dropped by 13.2 percentage points over the last five years, implying the company became more capital intensive as competition picked up

At $14.61 per share, Select Medical trades at 12.5x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than SEM.

Insperity (NSP)

Rolling One-Year Beta: 0.83

Pioneering the professional employer organization (PEO) industry it helped establish, Insperity (NYSE: NSP) provides human resources outsourcing services to small and medium-sized businesses, handling payroll, benefits, compliance, and HR administration.

Why Does NSP Give Us Pause?

  1. Annual revenue growth of 4.1% over the last two years was below our standards for the business services sector
  2. Incremental sales over the last five years were much less profitable as its earnings per share fell by 7.8% annually while its revenue grew
  3. Free cash flow margin shrank by 5.2 percentage points over the last five years, suggesting the company is consuming more capital to stay competitive

Insperity’s stock price of $60.49 implies a valuation ratio of 16.4x forward P/E. Check out our free in-depth research report to learn more about why NSP doesn’t pass our bar.

Stocks We Like More

Market indices reached historic highs following Donald Trump’s presidential victory in November 2024, but the outlook for 2025 is clouded by new trade policies that could impact business confidence and growth.

While this has caused many investors to adopt a "fearful" wait-and-see approach, we’re leaning into our best ideas that can grow regardless of the political or macroeconomic climate. Take advantage of Mr. Market by checking out our Top 9 Market-Beating Stocks. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Exlservice (+354% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.