ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

MGM Resorts’s (NYSE:MGM) Q2 Sales Beat Estimates

MGM Cover Image

Hospitality and casino entertainment company MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM) beat Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 1.8% year on year to $4.40 billion. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.79 per share was 42.7% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy MGM Resorts? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

MGM Resorts (MGM) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $4.40 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.32 billion (1.8% year-on-year growth, 1.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.79 vs analyst estimates of $0.55 (42.7% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $647.5 million vs analyst estimates of $1.17 billion (14.7% margin, 44.6% miss)
  • Operating Margin: 9.2%, in line with the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $10.18 billion

Company Overview

Operating several properties on the Las Vegas Strip, MGM Resorts (NYSE: MGM) is a global hospitality and entertainment company known for its resorts and casinos.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance is one signal of its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but many enduring ones grow for years. Over the last five years, MGM Resorts grew its sales at a 13.7% annual rate. Although this growth is acceptable on an absolute basis, it fell short of our standards for the consumer discretionary sector, which enjoys a number of secular tailwinds.

MGM Resorts Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within consumer discretionary, a stretched historical view may miss a company riding a successful new product or trend. MGM Resorts’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 7.8% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. Note that COVID hurt MGM Resorts’s business in 2020 and part of 2021, and it bounced back in a big way thereafter. MGM Resorts Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

MGM Resorts also breaks out the revenue for its three most important segments: Casino, Hotel, and Dining, which are 52.9%, 19.5%, and 17.7% of revenue. Over the last two years, MGM Resorts’s revenues in all three segments increased. Its Casino revenue (Poker, sports betting) averaged year-on-year growth of 16.2% while its Hotel (overnight bookings) and Dining (food and beverage) revenues averaged 2.7% and 2.8%.

This quarter, MGM Resorts reported modest year-on-year revenue growth of 1.8% but beat Wall Street’s estimates by 1.9%.

Looking ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to remain flat over the next 12 months, a deceleration versus the last two years. This projection doesn't excite us and indicates its products and services will face some demand challenges.

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, it should be obvious by now that generative AI is going to have a huge impact on how large corporations do business. While Nvidia and AMD are trading close to all-time highs, we prefer a lesser-known (but still profitable) stock benefiting from the rise of AI. Click here to access our free report one of our favorites growth stories.

Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

MGM Resorts’s operating margin has been trending down over the last 12 months and averaged 9% over the last two years. The company’s profitability was mediocre for a consumer discretionary business and shows it couldn’t pass its higher operating expenses onto its customers.

MGM Resorts Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, MGM Resorts generated an operating margin profit margin of 9.2%, in line with the same quarter last year. This indicates the company’s overall cost structure has been relatively stable.

Earnings Per Share

We track the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) for the same reason as long-term revenue growth. Compared to revenue, however, EPS highlights whether a company’s growth is profitable.

MGM Resorts’s full-year EPS flipped from negative to positive over the last five years. This is encouraging and shows it’s at a critical moment in its life.

MGM Resorts Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

In Q2, MGM Resorts reported adjusted EPS at $0.79, down from $0.86 in the same quarter last year. Despite falling year on year, this print easily cleared analysts’ estimates. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects MGM Resorts’s full-year EPS of $2.47 to shrink by 4.8%.

Key Takeaways from MGM Resorts’s Q2 Results

We were impressed by how significantly MGM Resorts blew past analysts’ EPS expectations this quarter. We were also happy its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. On the other hand, its EBITDA missed and its Casino revenue fell short of Wall Street’s estimates. Zooming out, we think this was a mixed quarter. The market seemed to be hoping for more, and the stock traded down 1.9% to $37.20 immediately after reporting.

Big picture, is MGM Resorts a buy here and now? We think that the latest quarter is only one piece of the longer-term business quality puzzle. Quality, when combined with valuation, can help determine if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.