ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

3 Cash-Burning Stocks We Approach with Caution

FWRG Cover Image

While some companies burn cash to fuel expansion, others struggle to turn spending into sustainable growth. A high cash burn rate without a strong balance sheet can leave investors exposed to significant downside.

Just because a company is spending heavily doesn’t mean it’s on the right track, and StockStory is here to separate the winners from the losers. Keeping that in mind, here are three cash-burning companies that don’t make the cut and some better opportunities instead.

First Watch (FWRG)

Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: -2.4%

Based on a nautical reference to the first work shift aboard a ship, First Watch (NASDAQ: FWRG) is a chain of breakfast and brunch restaurants whose menu is heavily-focused on eggs and griddle items such as pancakes.

Why Are We Hesitant About FWRG?

  1. Long-term business health is up for debate as its cash burn has increased over the last year
  2. ROIC of 2.2% reflects management’s challenges in identifying attractive investment opportunities
  3. Short cash runway increases the probability of a capital raise that dilutes existing shareholders

At $17.42 per share, First Watch trades at 44.5x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with FWRG, check out our full research report (it’s free).

Trex (TREX)

Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: -9.9%

Addressing the demand for aesthetically-pleasing and unique outdoor living spaces, Trex Company (NYSE: TREX) makes wood-alternative decking, railing, and patio furniture.

Why Does TREX Worry Us?

  1. Muted 5.4% annual revenue growth over the last two years shows its demand lagged behind its industrials peers
  2. Earnings per share were flat over the last five years while its revenue grew, showing its incremental sales were less profitable
  3. Eroding returns on capital suggest its historical profit centers are aging

Trex is trading at $64.34 per share, or 29.9x forward P/E. Dive into our free research report to see why there are better opportunities than TREX.

Byrna (BYRN)

Trailing 12-Month Free Cash Flow Margin: -8.3%

Providing civilians with tools to disable, disarm, and deter would-be assailants, Byrna (NASDAQ: BYRN) is a provider of non-lethal weapons.

Why Are We Wary of BYRN?

  1. Suboptimal cost structure is highlighted by its history of operating margin losses
  2. Cash-burning history makes us doubt the long-term viability of its business model
  3. Limited cash reserves may force the company to seek unfavorable financing terms that could dilute shareholders

Byrna’s stock price of $22.37 implies a valuation ratio of 50.4x forward EV-to-EBITDA. If you’re considering BYRN for your portfolio, see our FREE research report to learn more.

High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions

When Trump unveiled his aggressive tariff plan in April 2024, markets tanked as investors feared a full-blown trade war. But those who panicked and sold missed the subsequent rebound that’s already erased most losses.

Don’t let fear keep you from great opportunities and take a look at Top 6 Stocks for this week. This is a curated list of our High Quality stocks that have generated a market-beating return of 183% over the last five years (as of March 31st 2025).

Stocks that made our list in 2020 include now familiar names such as Nvidia (+1,545% between March 2020 and March 2025) as well as under-the-radar businesses like the once-small-cap company Comfort Systems (+782% five-year return). Find your next big winner with StockStory today for free. Find your next big winner with StockStory today. Find your next big winner with StockStory today

StockStory is growing and hiring equity analyst and marketing roles. Are you a 0 to 1 builder passionate about the markets and AI? See the open roles here.

Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the following
Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.