What Happened?
Shares of online learning platform Udemy (NASDAQ: UDMY) jumped 10.4% in the afternoon session after the company posted strong second-quarter financial results that exceeded Wall Street's expectations and lifted its full-year guidance. The online learning platform reported revenue of $199.9 million and a non-GAAP profit of $0.16 per share, both beating analyst consensus estimates. The company also raised its revenue and profit forecasts for the full year. Investors responded positively to what the company's CEO called an "inflection point," as Udemy achieved GAAP profitability. The strong report prompted positive reactions from analysts. For instance, Cantor Fitzgerald increased its price target, pointing to early signs of success from the company's "Udemy 2.0" turnaround plan and its transformation into an AI-powered platform. Needham also reaffirmed its Buy rating on the stock, which bolstered investor confidence.
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What Is The Market Telling Us
Udemy’s shares are quite volatile and have had 19 moves greater than 5% over the last year. But moves this big are rare even for Udemy and indicate this news significantly impacted the market’s perception of the business.
The previous big move we wrote about was 20 days ago when the stock dropped 4.7% on the news that the Trump administration announced intentions to impose a 35% tariff on many goods imported from Canada. This move is far more than a typical trade dispute; it targets the United States' largest and most deeply integrated trading partner. Canada is not merely a neighbor but a critical component of North American supply chains, particularly in sectors like automotive, energy, and critical minerals. This move has sparked concerns about potential retaliatory actions and a wider impact on the North American economy, leading to a risk-off sentiment among investors. The S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average, and Nasdaq all opened lower, pulling back from recent record highs and heading for their first weekly loss in three weeks.
Udemy is down 8.2% since the beginning of the year, and at $7.56 per share, it is trading 25.1% below its 52-week high of $10.10 from February 2025. Investors who bought $1,000 worth of Udemy’s shares at the IPO in October 2021 would now be looking at an investment worth $274.99.
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