ETFOptimize | High-performance ETF-based Investment Strategies

Quantitative strategies, Wall Street-caliber research, and insightful market analysis since 1998.


ETFOptimize | HOME
Close Window

Cisco (NASDAQ:CSCO) Posts Q2 Sales In Line With Estimates, Quarterly Revenue Guidance Slightly Exceeds Expectations

CSCO Cover Image

Networking technology giant Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) met Wall Street’s revenue expectations in Q2 CY2025, with sales up 7.6% year on year to $14.67 billion. The company expects next quarter’s revenue to be around $14.75 billion, coming in 0.8% above analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $0.99 per share was 1.3% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy Cisco? Find out by accessing our full research report, it’s free.

Cisco (CSCO) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $14.67 billion vs analyst estimates of $14.64 billion (7.6% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Adjusted EPS: $0.99 vs analyst estimates of $0.98 (1.3% beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $5.03 billion vs analyst estimates of $5.51 billion (34.2% margin, 8.9% miss)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q3 CY2025 is $14.75 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $14.63 billion
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the upcoming financial year 2026 is $4.03 at the midpoint, in line with analyst estimates
  • Operating Margin: 23.5%, up from 19.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 27.4%, up from 25.9% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $282.7 billion

"We delivered a strong close to fiscal 2025, driven by our accelerated innovation and solid execution," said Chuck Robbins, chair and CEO of Cisco.

Company Overview

Founded in 1984 by a husband and wife team who wanted computers at Stanford to talk to computers at UC Berkeley, Cisco (NASDAQ: CSCO) designs and sells networking equipment, security solutions, and collaboration tools that help businesses connect their systems and secure their digital operations.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Any business can put up a good quarter or two, but the best consistently grow over the long haul.

With $56.65 billion in revenue over the past 12 months, Cisco is a behemoth in the business services sector and benefits from economies of scale, giving it an edge in distribution. This also enables it to gain more leverage on its fixed costs than smaller competitors and the flexibility to offer lower prices. However, its scale is a double-edged sword because finding new avenues for growth becomes difficult when you already have a substantial market presence. To expand meaningfully, Cisco likely needs to tweak its prices, innovate with new offerings, or enter new markets.

As you can see below, Cisco’s 2.8% annualized revenue growth over the last five years was sluggish. This shows it failed to generate demand in any major way and is a rough starting point for our analysis. Cisco Quarterly Revenue

We at StockStory place the most emphasis on long-term growth, but within business services, a half-decade historical view may miss recent innovations or disruptive industry trends. Cisco’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its revenue was flat over the last two years. Cisco Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Cisco grew its revenue by 7.6% year on year, and its $14.67 billion of revenue was in line with Wall Street’s estimates. Company management is currently guiding for a 6.6% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 5.1% over the next 12 months, an improvement versus the last two years. This projection is above the sector average and implies its newer products and services will fuel better top-line performance.

Unless you’ve been living under a rock, it should be obvious by now that generative AI is going to have a huge impact on how large corporations do business. While Nvidia and AMD are trading close to all-time highs, we prefer a lesser-known (but still profitable) stock benefiting from the rise of AI. Click here to access our free report one of our favorites growth stories.

Operating Margin

Operating margin is a key measure of profitability. Think of it as net income - the bottom line - excluding the impact of taxes and interest on debt, which are less connected to business fundamentals.

Cisco has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for a business services business, boasting an average operating margin of 24.6%.

Looking at the trend in its profitability, Cisco’s operating margin decreased by 4.4 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

Cisco Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

This quarter, Cisco generated an operating margin profit margin of 23.5%, up 4.3 percentage points year on year. This increase was a welcome development and shows it was more efficient.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Cisco’s weak 3.5% annual EPS growth over the last five years aligns with its revenue performance. This tells us it maintained its per-share profitability as it expanded.

Cisco Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a shorter period to see if we are missing a change in the business.

For Cisco, its two-year annual EPS declines of 1% show it’s continued to underperform. These results were bad no matter how you slice the data.

In Q2, Cisco reported adjusted EPS of $0.99, up from $0.87 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 1.3%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Cisco’s full-year EPS of $3.80 to grow 5.4%.

Key Takeaways from Cisco’s Q2 Results

It was good to see Cisco provide revenue guidance for next quarter that slightly beat analysts’ expectations. We were also happy its EPS guidance for next quarter narrowly outperformed Wall Street’s estimates. Overall, this print had some key positives. Investors were likely hoping for more, and shares traded down 2.2% to $68.74 immediately following the results.

Is Cisco an attractive investment opportunity at the current price? The latest quarter does matter, but not nearly as much as longer-term fundamentals and valuation, when deciding if the stock is a buy. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here, it’s free.

Recent Quotes

View More
Symbol Price Change (%)
AMZN  229.53
+0.42 (0.18%)
AAPL  278.78
-1.92 (-0.68%)
AMD  217.97
+1.99 (0.92%)
BAC  53.95
+0.07 (0.13%)
GOOG  322.09
+3.70 (1.16%)
META  673.42
+11.89 (1.80%)
MSFT  483.16
+2.32 (0.48%)
NVDA  182.41
-0.97 (-0.53%)
ORCL  217.58
+3.25 (1.52%)
TSLA  455.00
+0.47 (0.10%)
Stock Quote API & Stock News API supplied by www.cloudquote.io
Quotes delayed at least 20 minutes.
By accessing this page, you agree to the Privacy Policy and Terms Of Service.


 

IntelligentValue Home
Close Window

DISCLAIMER

All content herein is issued solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor should it be interpreted as a recommendation to buy, hold or sell (short or otherwise) any security.  All opinions, analyses, and information included herein are based on sources believed to be reliable, but no representation or warranty of any kind, expressed or implied, is made including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. We undertake no obligation to update such opinions, analysis or information. You should independently verify all information contained on this website. Some information is based on analysis of past performance or hypothetical performance results, which have inherent limitations. We make no representation that any particular equity or strategy will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to those shown. Shareholders, employees, writers, contractors, and affiliates associated with ETFOptimize.com may have ownership positions in the securities that are mentioned. If you are not sure if ETFs, algorithmic investing, or a particular investment is right for you, you are urged to consult with a Registered Investment Advisor (RIA). Neither this website nor anyone associated with producing its content are Registered Investment Advisors, and no attempt is made herein to substitute for personalized, professional investment advice. Neither ETFOptimize.com, Global Alpha Investments, Inc., nor its employees, service providers, associates, or affiliates are responsible for any investment losses you may incur as a result of using the information provided herein. Remember that past investment returns may not be indicative of future returns.

Copyright © 1998-2017 ETFOptimize.com, a publication of Optimized Investments, Inc. All rights reserved.